UEFA Europa League 25/26, Round of 16 · 12 Mar 2026

Bologna 1–1 AS Roma

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Bologna favourites at 43%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.4 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Federico Bernardeschi, 64.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Zeki Çelik +19.4, Federico Bernardeschi +11.3.

Well below it: Nicolò Casale −17.0, Juan Miranda −12.0, Bryan Zaragoza −11.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

23 Aug 2025	AS Roma 1–0 Bologna Serie A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Charalampos Lykogiannis Defender	11	0	0	–	93.8	–
Martin Vitík Defender	11	0	0	0.17	73.8	–
Federico Bernardeschi Forward	90	1	0	0.44	64.9	+11.3
Nadir Zortea Defender	10	0	0	–	57.1	–
Nicolò Cambiaghi Forward	19	0	0	–	50.7	–
Jhon Lucumí Defender	90	0	0	–	50.6	+0.2
Łukasz Skorupski Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.3	−1.0
Tommaso Pobega Midfielder	90	0	0	0.63	45.4	+2.6
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder	90	0	0	–	45.1	−4.2
João Mário Defender	85	0	0	–	44.2	−3.8
Jonathan Rowe Forward	71	0	1	0.10	44.0	−6.4
Santiago Castro Forward	79	0	0	–	43.0	−2.2
Remo Freuler Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	42.1	−2.5
Juan Miranda Defender	79	0	0	0.01	39.7	−12.0
Thijs Dallinga Forward	11	0	0	–	39.0	–
Nicolò Casale Defender	84	0	0	0.02	38.8	−17.0

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Lorenzo Pellegrini Forward	24	1	0.67	100.0	–
Evan Ndicka Defender	90	0	0.05	60.3	+6.3
Zeki Çelik Defender	65	0	–	60.1	+19.4
Mile Svilar Goalkeeper	90	0	–	53.7	+2.8
Daniele Ghilardi Defender	90	0	–	51.6	+2.7
Devyne Rensch Midfielder	58	0	–	46.7	−1.2
Neil El Aynaoui Midfielder	66	0	–	46.5	−5.8
Niccolò Pisilli Midfielder	90	0	0.02	44.5	−3.2
Donyell Malen Forward	90	0	0.35	43.9	−6.9
Bryan Cristante Midfielder	90	0	0.02	43.8	−7.1
Bryan Zaragoza Forward	45	0	0.19	42.9	−11.2
Wesley Midfielder	90	0	–	42.7	−3.9
Robinio Vaz Forward	45	0	–	41.9	−8.2
Mario Hermoso Defender	25	0	0.05	39.3	–
Kostas Tsimikas Defender	32	0	–	34.6	–