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Bologna
Nicolò Casale

Nicolò Casale

Defender · Bologna · 28 · Italy

355 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
50.7
Serie A 26/27, 3 matches
Last 5 weeks
51.3
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€3.8M
−€1.2M (−24%) since 23 Dec 2025
Transfermarkt, 29 May 2026

Photo: Werner100359, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
14 Feb 1998
Height
191 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2028
Wikipedia views
406 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

12 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 53.7 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
20–26 Oct 202619057.751.151.0
13–19 Oct 202619040.651.840.5
6–12 Oct 202619053.751.853.7
14–20 Apr 202618258.251.458.2
7–13 Apr 202619047.051.850.8
17–23 Mar 202614736.252.536.1
10–16 Mar 202618438.853.538.8
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202629764.452.964.7
3–9 Feb 202619062.752.262.9
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202619047.152.747.1
20–26 Jan 2026217557.452.557.7
13–19 Jan 202619050.552.550.4
6–12 Jan 202611478.052.278.1
2–8 Dec 202513932.753.032.6
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202514566.452.669.0
18–24 Nov 202519061.452.061.4
4–10 Nov 20251932.452.232.2
21–27 Oct 202511320.252.620.0
19–25 Aug 202514546.953.046.8

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (+1.1 a week).

30.040.050.060.070.018 Nov20 Jan3 Feb10 Mar14 Apr13 OctScore 57.7Expected 51.1
355

On the breakout watchlist

A 17% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 52.7 over 1,235 minutes in the last year, down 2.3 over the last 10 weeks. Wikipedia views 4.1× below similar performers. Valued €3.8M against €6.9M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €3.8M −€1.2M (−24%) since 23 Dec 2025 29 May 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €4.1M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
0€10M€20M€30M20162017201820192020202120222023202420252026€3.8M€4.1M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€4.1M
29 May 2026Transfermarkt€3.8M
23 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€5.0M
17 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€6.0M
18 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€7.0M
18 Oct 2024Transfermarkt€8.0M
5 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€14.0M
12 Mar 2024Transfermarkt€14.0M
20 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€20.0M
15 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€22.0M
21 Mar 2023Transfermarkt€17.0M
11 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€9.0M
7 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€7.5M
15 Mar 2022Transfermarkt€6.0M
28 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€4.0M
14 Oct 2021Transfermarkt€2.0M
24 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€500k
22 Feb 2021Transfermarkt€500k
21 Aug 2020Transfermarkt€400k
30 Dec 2019Transfermarkt€200k
20 Jun 2019Transfermarkt€150k
14 Dec 2018Transfermarkt€150k
19 Jun 2018Transfermarkt€100k
21 Dec 2017Transfermarkt€125k
26 Jun 2017Transfermarkt€125k
8 Jun 2016Transfermarkt€75k
27 Nov 2015Transfermarkt€50k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
1 Jul 2025Lazio Bologna€6.5M
30 Jun 2025Bologna LazioFree or loan
30 Aug 2024Lazio BolognaFree or loan
8 Jul 2022Hellas Verona Lazio€8.0M

What the score is made of

Serie A 26/27, 270 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 546 top-five-league defender seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shooting55Creating0Progressing0Keeping the ball65Defending87Aerial53Finishing100
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shooting55−0.04
Creating0−0.54
Progressing0−0.68
Keeping the ball65+0.33
Defending87+0.18
Aerial53−0.05
Finishing100+1.55

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

020040060028 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Lewis Schouten AZ Alkmaar · 2252.5€4.0M97%Compare
Martin Vitík Bologna · 23––95%Compare
Jeyland Mitchell RC Strasbourg · 2251.2€8.0M95%Compare
Joris Kramer Go Ahead Eagles · 30 · cheaper47.9€1.5M95%Compare
Anthony Rouault Stade Rennais · 2551.1€12.0M95%Compare
Harry Maguire Manchester United · 3357.6€8.0M94%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Nicolò Casale.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Serie A 26/27Serie ABologna327050.748.4
Serie A 25/26Serie ABologna1268454.655.3
UEFA Europa League 25/26Europa LeagueBologna641650.250.4
Serie A 24/25Serie ABologna171,04656.156.5
UEFA Champions League 24/25Champions LeagueBologna421860.060.0
Serie A 23/24Serie ALazio201,55751.451.7

Latest matches

21 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
24 Oct 2026Serie Aat CagliariW 2–090100.140.0057.7
17 Oct 2026Serie AInterL 1–39000–0.0040.6
11 Oct 2026Serie Aat LecceW 2–19000–0.0053.7
16 Apr 2026Europa Leagueat Aston VillaL 0–48200–0.0158.2
12 Apr 2026Serie ALecceW 2–090000.510.0147.0
19 Mar 2026Europa Leagueat AS RomaD 3–34700–0.0036.2
12 Mar 2026Europa LeagueAS RomaD 1–184000.020.0038.8
2 Mar 2026Serie Aat PisaW 1–069000.040.0165.9
26 Feb 2026Europa LeagueSK BrannW 1–02800–0.0160.7
3 Feb 2026Serie AAC MilanL 0–390000.030.0162.7
All 21 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
24 Oct 2026Serie Aat CagliariW 2–090100.140.0057.7
17 Oct 2026Serie AInterL 1–39000–0.0040.6
11 Oct 2026Serie Aat LecceW 2–19000–0.0053.7
16 Apr 2026Europa Leagueat Aston VillaL 0–48200–0.0158.2
12 Apr 2026Serie ALecceW 2–090000.510.0147.0
19 Mar 2026Europa Leagueat AS RomaD 3–34700–0.0036.2
12 Mar 2026Europa LeagueAS RomaD 1–184000.020.0038.8
2 Mar 2026Serie Aat PisaW 1–069000.040.0165.9
26 Feb 2026Europa LeagueSK BrannW 1–02800–0.0160.7
3 Feb 2026Serie AAC MilanL 0–390000.030.0162.7
29 Jan 2026Europa Leagueat Maccabi Tel AvivW 3–09000–0.0147.1
25 Jan 2026Serie Aat GenoaL 2–39000–0.0453.6
22 Jan 2026Europa LeagueCelticD 2–285000.100.0461.4
18 Jan 2026Serie AFiorentinaL 1–29000–0.0950.5
10 Jan 2026Serie Aat ComoD 1–11400–0.0078.0
7 Dec 2025Serie Aat LazioD 1–13900–0.0032.7
1 Dec 2025Serie ACremoneseL 1–345000.170.0066.4
22 Nov 2025Serie Aat UdineseW 3–09000–0.0161.4
9 Nov 2025Serie ASSC NapoliW 2–0900–0.0032.4
26 Oct 2025Serie Aat FiorentinaD 2–21300––20.2
23 Aug 2025Serie Aat AS RomaL 0–14500–0.0046.9