FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Serie A 25/26 · 3 Feb 2026

Bologna 0–3 AC Milan

Picked for matchday: Standout: Pervis Estupiñán scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Davide Bartesaghi

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.6 – 1.1
Actual xG
0.5 – 2.6
Goals
0 – 3

Footybot made Bologna favourites at 48%.

AC Milan won and made the better chances: 2.6 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Christopher Nkunku, 76.5 in 72′.

Well above their usual level: Christopher Nkunku +22.0, Adrien Rabiot +9.9, Nicolò Casale +9.1.

Well below it: Davide Bartesaghi −16.1, Federico Ravaglia −10.1, Santiago Castro −9.7.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Bologna

29 Jan 2026W 3–0at Maccabi Tel Aviv Europa League
25 Jan 2026L 2–3at Genoa Serie A
22 Jan 2026D 2–2v Celtic Europa League
18 Jan 2026L 1–2v Fiorentina Serie A
15 Jan 2026W 3–2at Hellas Verona Serie A

AC Milan

25 Jan 2026D 1–1at AS Roma Serie A
18 Jan 2026W 1–0v Lecce Serie A
15 Jan 2026W 3–1at Como Serie A
11 Jan 2026D 1–1at Fiorentina Serie A
8 Jan 2026D 1–1v Genoa Serie A

Head to head

14 Sep 2025AC Milan 1–0 Bologna Serie A

Bologna

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Nicolò Casale Defender90000.0362.7+9.1
Riccardo Orsolini Midfielder5300–52.8+7.0
Juan Miranda Defender7800–52.6−3.3
Federico Bernardeschi Forward37000.0252.3–
Jens Odgaard Midfielder90000.2649.3+2.7
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder9000–47.5−6.1
Nikola Moro Midfielder2500–47.3–
Nadir Zortea Defender90000.0246.8+1.5
Jonathan Rowe Forward78000.0246.2−4.9
Remo Freuler Midfielder6500–45.2−2.2
Torbjørn Heggem Defender90000.1044.6−7.2
Thijs Dallinga Forward3600–41.8–
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper9000–40.3−10.1
Santiago Castro Forward5400–39.2−9.7
Nicolò Cambiaghi Forward1200–34.0–
Charalampos Lykogiannis Defender1200–27.4–

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Pervis Estupiñán Midfielder1100–100.0–
Niclas Füllkrug Forward18000.3277.1–
Christopher Nkunku Forward72101.4276.5+22.0
Ardon Jashari Midfielder1800–67.2–
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder90110.3462.2+9.9
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper9000–58.1+4.6
Zachary Athekame Defender6700–58.0–
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder67100.3756.8+8.0
Luka Modrić Midfielder7200–55.2+1.7
Strahinja Pavlović Defender9000–49.7−2.8
Koni De Winter Defender9000–46.9−4.2
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder90000.1744.2−0.7
Matteo Gabbia Defender9000–44.1−5.7
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder8300–40.6−16.1
Samuele Ricci Midfielder2300–39.7–
Fikayo Tomori Defender2300–34.9–