FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Serie A 25/26 · 25 Jan 2026

AS Roma 1–1 AC Milan

Picked for matchday: Standout: Lorenzo Pellegrini scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Davide Bartesaghi

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.5 – 1.0
Actual xG
2.8 – 0.4
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made AS Roma favourites at 49%.

AS Roma deserved more from the draw, creating 2.8 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mike Maignan, 65.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Bryan Cristante +13.9, Mike Maignan +11.4, Manu Koné +8.5.

Well below it: Christopher Nkunku −16.0, Mile Svilar −13.0, Gianluca Mancini −11.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

AS Roma

22 Jan 2026W 2–0v VfB Stuttgart Europa League
18 Jan 2026W 2–0at Torino Serie A
10 Jan 2026W 2–0v Sassuolo Serie A
6 Jan 2026W 2–0at Lecce Serie A
3 Jan 2026L 0–1at Atalanta Serie A

AC Milan

18 Jan 2026W 1–0v Lecce Serie A
15 Jan 2026W 3–1at Como Serie A
11 Jan 2026D 1–1at Fiorentina Serie A
8 Jan 2026D 1–1v Genoa Serie A
2 Jan 2026W 1–0at Cagliari Serie A

Head to head

2 Nov 2025AC Milan 1–0 AS Roma Serie A

AS Roma

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Lorenzo Pellegrini Forward21100.79100.0–
Bryan Cristante Midfielder90000.0761.7+13.9
Manu Koné Midfielder59000.1158.9+8.5
Niccolò Pisilli Midfielder31000.0552.6–
Paulo Dybala Forward6900–50.7−5.0
Evan Ndicka Defender9000–48.5−1.9
Daniele Ghilardi Defender9000–48.2−2.6
Matías Soulé Forward85000.1247.1−4.8
Donyell Malen Forward69001.0246.5−6.5
Wesley Midfielder9000–46.0−4.7
Mile Svilar Goalkeeper9000–43.4−13.0
Gianluca Mancini Defender9000–42.1−11.2
Lorenzo Venturino Forward900–42.0–
Robinio Vaz Forward2100–38.7–
Zeki Çelik Defender90000.6035.1−10.2

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper9000–65.2+11.4
Luka Modrić Midfielder9001–59.7+6.5
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder90000.0357.6+6.1
Koni De Winter Defender90100.3354.8+4.8
Matteo Gabbia Defender9000–49.0−1.6
Niclas Füllkrug Forward22000.0248.4–
Christian Pulišić Forward2100–47.3–
Samuele Ricci Midfielder7900–46.3−7.0
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder90000.0546.1−10.9
Rafael Leão Forward6800–45.5−8.8
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder45000.0244.4−5.7
Fikayo Tomori Defender9000–41.7−4.5
Christopher Nkunku Forward6900–40.3−16.0
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder1100–36.5–
Zachary Athekame Defender4500–36.2–