Serie A 25/26 · 2 Jan 2026

Cagliari 0–1 AC Milan

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made AC Milan favourites at 43%.

AC Milan won and made the better chances: 0.9 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Luka Modrić, 61.9 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Koni De Winter +9.1, Adam Obert +8.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Riyad Idrissi Defender	29	–	67.4	–
Adam Obert Defender	61	–	58.6	+8.8
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder	24	–	51.4	–
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper	90	–	50.8	+0.5
Sebastiano Luperto Defender	90	–	50.0	+6.1
Juan Rodríguez Defender	90	–	47.4	−1.3
Marco Palestra Midfielder	90	0.14	44.3	−10.2
Luca Mazzitelli Midfielder	83	0.09	43.8	–
Matteo Prati Midfielder	61	0.04	43.3	−0.1
Michel Adopo Midfielder	90	0.03	43.1	+0.6
Sebastiano Esposito Forward	66	–	38.0	−11.7
Gennaro Borrelli Forward	29	–	36.8	–
Nicolò Cavuoti Midfielder	12	–	36.8	–
Gabriele Zappa Defender	90	–	36.6	−11.7
Semih Kılıçsoy Forward	83	0.07	36.2	–
Leonardo Pavoletti Forward	12	–	35.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Luka Modrić Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	61.9	+7.2
Christian Pulišić Forward	11	0	0	0.22	60.8	–
Koni De Winter Defender	90	0	0	0.09	59.5	+9.1
Rafael Leão Forward	69	1	0	0.28	59.3	+3.1
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	54.2	+0.2
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder	90	0	1	0.06	52.3	+2.0
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	51.1	−2.3
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.9	−0.1
Niclas Füllkrug Forward	21	0	0	–	50.5	–
Samuele Ricci Midfielder	21	0	0	–	48.2	–
Fikayo Tomori Defender	90	0	0	–	48.0	+1.6
Pervis Estupiñán Midfielder	79	0	0	–	44.4	−5.3
Matteo Gabbia Defender	11	0	0	–	41.0	–
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder	79	0	0	0.17	39.0	−11.1
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder	69	0	0	0.02	37.7	−10.5