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Galatasaray
Rafael Leão

Rafael Leão

Forward · Galatasaray · 27 · Portugal

Compare with others

Season score
45.9
Super Lig 26/27, 5 matches
Last 5 weeks
49.9
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€38.0M
−€10.0M (−20%) since 29 May 2026 on Transfermarkt
estimate, 22 Oct 2026

Photo: Bryan Berlin, CC BY-SA 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
10 Jun 1999
Height
188 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2030
Wikipedia views
44,236 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

24 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 54.0 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
13–19 Oct 2026210642.251.341.4
6–12 Oct 202616750.951.556.4
29 Sep – 5 Oct 202616362.850.965.8
22–28 Sep 202614045.351.247.0
15–21 Sep 202619044.851.745.9
8–14 Sep 2026211853.152.157.2
1–7 Sep 202612239.452.139.5
30 Jun – 6 Jul 2026210962.151.564.1
19–25 May 202612290.750.894.6
5–11 May 202615842.051.342.9
28 Apr – 4 May 202615938.751.938.3
21–27 Apr 202618050.852.151.6
14–20 Apr 202616349.652.349.5
7–13 Apr 202617750.352.561.9
31 Mar – 6 Apr 202618100.052.3100.0
10–16 Mar 202616747.052.651.1
3–9 Mar 202617344.253.245.8
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202619067.752.382.1
17–23 Feb 2026217256.751.853.8
10–16 Feb 202611833.952.132.3
20–26 Jan 202616845.552.545.0
13–19 Jan 2026215748.853.049.1
6–12 Jan 2026212057.053.256.7
30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 202616959.352.950.6
2–8 Dec 202513140.353.340.0
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202519058.253.157.8
18–24 Nov 202518642.254.041.4
11–17 Nov 202528357.753.956.8
4–10 Nov 202519065.953.265.3
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2025213451.353.456.1
21–27 Oct 202519057.853.554.0
14–20 Oct 202518966.652.656.0
7–13 Oct 202512943.853.044.5
30 Sep – 6 Oct 202512762.152.975.8
23–29 Sep 202512143.853.143.2

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (−0.5 a week).

40.050.060.070.014 Oct4 Nov25 Nov13 Jan24 Feb7 Apr30 Jun29 SepExpected 51.3Score 42.2

Market value

Where these come from
Current estimate €38.0M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Transfermarkt €40.0M −€10.0M (−20%) since 29 May 2026 30 Sep 2026 · valuations up to July 2026
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €21.6M–€35.1M −35% median of 40 similar past cases; players his age −14% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Dávid Hancko at 27 (€30.0M, scoring 51.4) +17%; Scott McTominay at 27 (€32.0M, scoring 50.2) +56%; Nayef Aguerd at 28 (€35.0M, scoring 51.1) −49%.
0€25M€50M€75M€100M201820192020202120222023202420252026€40.0M€38.0M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€38.0M
30 Sep 2026Transfermarkt€40.0M
29 May 2026Transfermarkt€50.0M
24 Mar 2026Transfermarkt€65.0M
23 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€70.0M
17 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€70.0M
18 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€75.0M
18 Oct 2024Transfermarkt€75.0M
5 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€90.0M
20 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€90.0M
15 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€90.0M
21 Mar 2023Transfermarkt€80.0M
11 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€85.0M
7 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€70.0M
15 Mar 2022Transfermarkt€50.0M
28 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€35.0M
3 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€25.0M
29 Dec 2020Transfermarkt€28.0M
29 Oct 2020Transfermarkt€28.0M
25 Aug 2020Transfermarkt€24.0M
8 Apr 2020Transfermarkt€20.0M
12 Dec 2019Transfermarkt€22.0M
8 Oct 2019Transfermarkt€22.0M
3 Jun 2019Transfermarkt€15.0M
7 Mar 2019Transfermarkt€12.0M
17 Dec 2018Transfermarkt€6.0M
13 Jun 2018Transfermarkt€6.0M
16 Apr 2018Transfermarkt€4.0M
23 Feb 2018Transfermarkt€1.5M
8 Sep 2017Transfermarkt€500k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

What the score is made of

Super Lig 26/27: each part per 90 minutes against the average forward in the top five leagues (0), in standard deviations.

  • Shooting −0.19
  • Creating +0.29
  • Progressing +0.64
  • Keeping the ball −0.99
  • Defending +0.15
  • Aerial −0.63
  • Finishing −0.69

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

020K40K60K80K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Christian Pulišić AC Milan · 2853.2€35.0M96%Compare
Vinícius Júnior Real Madrid · 2650.4€130M92%Compare
Francisco Conceição Juventus · 2354.7€30.0M91%Compare
Julián Alvarez Atlético Madrid · 2656.6€110M86%Compare
Marcus Rashford Manchester United · 2856.7€35.0M85%Compare
Ademola Lookman Atlético Madrid · 2954.7€40.0M83%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Rafael Leão.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Super Lig 26/27Süper LigGalatasaray528145.949.0
UEFA Champions League 26/27Champions LeagueGalatasaray212250.350.3
UEFA Nations League 26/27UEFA Nations LeaguePortugal210356.058.5
World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026World Cup Qualification UEFAPortugal311254.153.6
World Cup 2026World Cup 2026Portugal210962.164.1
Serie A 25/26Serie AAC Milan291,85953.954.6
Serie A 24/25Serie AAC Milan342,33056.957.3
UEFA Champions League 24/25Champions LeagueAC Milan1079856.456.2
Serie A 23/24Serie AAC Milan342,52356.457.4

Latest matches

43 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
17 Oct 2026Süper Ligat GençlerbirliğiW 1–01600–0.0133.4
13 Oct 2026Champions LeagueFC BarcelonaL 1–49001–0.1143.8
9 Oct 2026Süper LigKasımpaşaW 3–167000.410.1950.9
1 Oct 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat DenmarkW 4–263000.130.1962.8
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat NorwayW 2–140000.090.0045.3
19 Sep 2026Süper Ligat TrabzonsporL 0–490000.160.2644.8
13 Sep 2026Süper LigKocaelisporW 1–086000.500.3047.2
9 Sep 2026Champions Leagueat Sporting CPL 1–33200–0.0568.7
4 Sep 2026Süper Ligat Başakşehir FKW 3–222000.030.0139.4
6 Jul 2026World Cup 2026SpainL 0–11900–0.00100.0
All 43 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
17 Oct 2026Süper Ligat GençlerbirliğiW 1–01600–0.0133.4
13 Oct 2026Champions LeagueFC BarcelonaL 1–49001–0.1143.8
9 Oct 2026Süper LigKasımpaşaW 3–167000.410.1950.9
1 Oct 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat DenmarkW 4–263000.130.1962.8
27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat NorwayW 2–140000.090.0045.3
19 Sep 2026Süper Ligat TrabzonsporL 0–490000.160.2644.8
13 Sep 2026Süper LigKocaelisporW 1–086000.500.3047.2
9 Sep 2026Champions Leagueat Sporting CPL 1–33200–0.0568.7
4 Sep 2026Süper Ligat Başakşehir FKW 3–222000.030.0139.4
6 Jul 2026World Cup 2026SpainL 0–11900–0.00100.0
2 Jul 2026World Cup 2026CroatiaW 2–190010.110.2051.1
24 May 2026Serie ACagliariL 1–22200–0.3690.7
10 May 2026Serie AAtalantaL 2–358000.110.0242.0
3 May 2026Serie Aat SassuoloL 0–259000.050.0138.7
26 Apr 2026Serie AJuventusD 0–080000.070.1650.8
19 Apr 2026Serie Aat Hellas VeronaW 1–06301–0.2449.6
11 Apr 2026Serie AUdineseL 0–377001.000.0350.3
6 Apr 2026Serie Aat SSC NapoliL 0–18000.060.24100.0
15 Mar 2026Serie Aat LazioL 0–167000.330.1247.0
8 Mar 2026Serie AInterW 1–073000.180.0044.2
1 Mar 2026Serie Aat CremoneseW 2–090102.270.0667.7
22 Feb 2026Serie AParmaL 0–190000.190.2658.5
18 Feb 2026Serie AComoD 1–182100.150.0154.7
13 Feb 2026Serie Aat PisaW 2–11800–0.0133.9
25 Jan 2026Serie Aat AS RomaD 1–16800–0.0145.5
18 Jan 2026Serie ALecceW 1–087000.080.2748.6
15 Jan 2026Serie Aat ComoW 3–17001–0.1249.1
11 Jan 2026Serie Aat FiorentinaD 1–130000.040.0347.2
8 Jan 2026Serie AGenoaD 1–190100.830.1360.3
2 Jan 2026Serie Aat CagliariW 1–069100.280.0459.3
8 Dec 2025Serie Aat TorinoW 3–231000.020.0140.3
29 Nov 2025Serie ALazioW 1–090100.890.0858.2
23 Nov 2025Serie Aat InterW 1–08600–0.0542.2
16 Nov 2025World Cup Qualification UEFAArmeniaW 9–15600––59.3
13 Nov 2025World Cup Qualification UEFAat IrelandL 0–22700––54.5
8 Nov 2025Serie Aat ParmaD 2–290100.790.2965.9
2 Nov 2025Serie AAS RomaW 1–089010.700.3855.0
28 Oct 2025Serie Aat AtalantaD 1–14500–0.0443.9
24 Oct 2025Serie APisaD 2–290100.540.3857.8
19 Oct 2025Serie AFiorentinaW 2–189200.810.0266.6
11 Oct 2025World Cup Qualification UEFAIrelandW 1–02900––43.8
5 Oct 2025Serie Aat JuventusD 0–027000.38–62.1
28 Sep 2025Serie ASSC NapoliW 2–12100–0.0143.8