Serie A 25/26 · 18 Feb 2026

AC Milan 1–1 Como

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Standout: Ivan Smolčić scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Davide Bartesaghi

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made AC Milan favourites at 53%.

Como deserved more from the draw, creating 1.5 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Martin Baturina, 62.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Mërgim Vojvoda +14.8.

Well below it: Christopher Nkunku −15.5, Marc Kempf −15.1, Samuele Ricci −14.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

15 Jan 2026	Como 1–3 AC Milan Serie A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder	35	0	0	–	76.9	–
Matteo Gabbia Defender	45	0	0	0.08	55.7	+6.6
Rafael Leão Forward	82	1	0	0.15	54.7	+2.8
Ardon Jashari Midfielder	90	0	1	–	54.2	–
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.4	−1.8
Christian Pulišić Forward	8	0	0	0.05	50.2	–
Koni De Winter Defender	90	0	0	–	50.1	−0.3
Zachary Athekame Defender	55	0	0	–	48.1	+1.5
Strahinja Pavlović Defender	45	0	0	–	48.1	−2.0
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.9	−6.8
Luka Modrić Midfielder	90	0	0	–	45.6	−8.4
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder	34	0	0	0.42	41.7	–
Niclas Füllkrug Forward	28	0	0	–	40.0	–
Christopher Nkunku Forward	62	0	0	–	39.9	−15.5
Fikayo Tomori Defender	90	0	0	0.06	39.2	−7.2
Samuele Ricci Midfielder	56	0	0	–	37.6	−14.9

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Ivan Smolčić Defender	1	0	–	100.0	–
Álex Valle Defender	19	0	0.04	80.2	–
Anastasios Douvikas Forward	19	0	0.30	63.5	–
Martin Baturina Midfielder	90	0	0.09	62.1	−2.5
Mërgim Vojvoda Defender	89	0	–	61.8	+14.8
Sergi Roberto Midfielder	79	0	0.39	58.4	–
Nico Paz Midfielder	71	1	0.36	57.2	+2.6
Jacobo Ramón Defender	90	0	0.23	53.5	−6.2
Jean Butez Goalkeeper	90	0	–	50.2	−2.7
Máximo Perrone Midfielder	90	0	–	49.4	−0.5
Diego Carlos Defender	90	0	–	46.1	−6.8
Maxence Caqueret Midfielder	78	0	–	44.5	−10.4
Jesús Rodriguez Midfielder	12	0	0.04	43.8	–
Ignace Van der Brempt Defender	71	0	–	43.7	−3.6
Marc Kempf Defender	90	0	–	42.4	−15.1
Lucas Da Cunha Midfielder	11	0	–	41.5	–