Serie A 25/26 · 15 Mar 2026

Lazio 1–0 AC Milan

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot saw it as open: Lazio 37%, the draw 27%, AC Milan 36%.

Lazio won although AC Milan made the better chances (1.4 xG to 0.4): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Alexis Saelemaekers, 83.9 in 84′.

Well above their usual level: Alexis Saelemaekers +34.1, Mario Gila +12.9, Youssouf Fofana +9.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Nov 2025	AC Milan 1–0 Lazio Serie A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mario Gila Defender	90	0	0	–	62.7	+12.9
Edoardo Motta Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	59.7	–
Gustav Isaksen Forward	67	1	0	0.15	57.2	+9.1
Patric Defender	90	0	0	0.03	49.5	−0.3
Boulaye Dia Forward	23	0	0	–	46.0	–
Matteo Cancellieri Forward	15	0	0	–	45.8	–
Mattia Zaccagni Forward	83	0	0	–	45.7	+1.4
Nuno Tavares Defender	90	0	0	0.02	45.2	−7.2
Daniel Maldini Forward	67	0	0	0.18	44.4	−3.5
Kenneth Taylor Midfielder	89	0	0	0.03	42.6	−3.6
Fisayo Dele-Bashiru Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.2	−1.3
Oliver Provstgaard Defender	90	0	0	–	41.9	−6.9
Reda Belahyane Midfielder	8	0	0	–	41.8	–
Pedro Forward	23	0	0	–	41.7	–
Adam Marušić Defender	90	0	1	–	34.8	−7.5

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder	84	–	83.9	+34.1
Samuele Ricci Midfielder	14	–	78.9	–
Christian Pulišić Forward	90	0.36	62.6	+7.6
Zachary Athekame Defender	33	0.04	62.5	–
Strahinja Pavlović Defender	90	0.19	58.5	+6.9
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder	67	0.16	54.4	+9.5
Pervis Estupiñán Midfielder	57	0.07	51.4	+3.1
Koni De Winter Defender	90	0.08	50.3	+0.5
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper	90	–	49.8	−6.4
Luka Modrić Midfielder	90	0.14	49.8	−6.1
Fikayo Tomori Defender	57	–	48.9	+4.1
Ardon Jashari Midfielder	90	0.02	48.0	−0.8
Rafael Leão Forward	67	0.33	47.0	−7.4
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder	33	0.02	38.9	–
Niclas Füllkrug Forward	23	–	38.2	–
Christopher Nkunku Forward	23	–	37.4	–