Portugal 2–1 Croatia
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.2 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 2.2 – 1.3
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Portugal favourites at 69%.
Portugal won and made the better chances: 2.2 xG to 1.3.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nuno Mendes, 73.6 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Igor Matanović +20.3, Nikola Vlašić +16.9, Nuno Mendes +15.9.
Well below it: Bruno Fernandes −21.8, Pedro Neto −16.2, Martin Baturina −11.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Portugal
| 27 Jun 2026 | D 0–0 | at Colombia |
| 23 Jun 2026 | W 5–0 | v Uzbekistan |
| 17 Jun 2026 | D 1–1 | v DR Congo |
| 10 Jun 2026 | W 2–1 | v Nigeria |
| 6 Jun 2026 | W 2–1 | v Chile |
Croatia
| 27 Jun 2026 | W 2–1 | v Ghana |
| 23 Jun 2026 | W 1–0 | at Panama |
| 17 Jun 2026 | L 2–4 | at England |
| 7 Jun 2026 | W 2–1 | v Slovenia |
| 2 Jun 2026 | L 0–2 | v Belgium |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Portugal
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gonçalo Ramos | 27 | 84.3 | – |
| Nuno Mendes | 90 | 73.6 | +15.9 |
| Nélson Semedo | 27 | 68.6 | – |
| Rúben Dias | 90 | 64.7 | +8.0 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | 81 | 59.9 | +8.7 |
| Vitinha | 62 | 59.2 | +1.8 |
| Renato Veiga | 90 | 57.6 | +8.6 |
| Diogo Costa | 90 | 55.8 | +1.8 |
| João Neves | 90 | 54.7 | +2.5 |
| Rúben Neves | 9 | 53.5 | – |
| João Cancelo | 63 | 52.8 | −9.6 |
| Rafael Leão | 90 | 51.5 | +2.0 |
| Francisco Conceição | 27 | 42.4 | – |
| Bruno Fernandes | 63 | 42.0 | −21.8 |
| Pedro Neto | 63 | 37.6 | −16.2 |
| Bernardo Silva | 28 | 37.0 | – |
Croatia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Pašalić | 22 | 72.7 | – |
| Igor Matanović | 45 | 72.2 | +20.3 |
| Ivan Perišić | 90 | 65.7 | +10.4 |
| Luka Modrić | 90 | 64.7 | +10.1 |
| Josip Stanišić | 90 | 63.5 | +11.2 |
| Nikola Vlašić | 89 | 62.6 | +16.9 |
| Petar Sučić | 90 | 58.8 | +7.4 |
| Mateo Kovačić | 89 | 52.2 | +0.7 |
| Martin Baturina | 68 | 47.6 | −11.9 |
| Josip Šutalo | 90 | 47.6 | −2.9 |
| Ante Budimir | 45 | 47.5 | +0.7 |
| Marin Pongračić | 90 | 44.5 | −8.6 |
| Dominik Livaković | 90 | 41.2 | −6.2 |
| Andrej Kramarić | 13 | 38.0 | – |
| Joško Gvardiol | 17 | 36.5 | – |