UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 27 Sep 2026

Norway 1–2 Portugal

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Norway favourites at 52%.

Portugal won although Norway made the better chances (2.7 xG to 1.0): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Diogo Costa, 77.8 in 96′.

Well above their usual level: Diogo Costa +24.3, João Cancelo +18.9, Gonçalo Ramos +15.9.

Well below it: Ørjan Nyland −20.8, João Palhinha −12.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

24 Sep 2026	W 3–2	v Denmark UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2026	D 1–1	v England World Cup 2026
5 Jul 2026	W 2–1	at Brazil World Cup 2026
30 Jun 2026	W 2–1	at Côte d'Ivoire World Cup 2026
26 Jun 2026	L 1–4	v France World Cup 2026

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Oscar Bobb Midfielder	24	0	0	–	76.7	–
Kristoffer Ajer Defender	96	0	0	–	74.9	+14.1
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder	96	0	0	0.17	73.6	+6.4
Sander Berge Midfielder	96	0	0	0.30	67.7	+12.4
Antonio Nusa Forward	81	0	0	0.05	67.5	+12.7
Erling Haaland Forward	96	1	0	1.69	66.8	+2.6
Andreas Schjelderup Midfielder	96	0	0	0.16	61.0	−0.3
Julian Ryerson Midfielder	66	0	0	–	60.8	+3.4
Patrick Berg Midfielder	72	0	1	0.20	55.3	+2.7
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder	96	0	0	–	54.4	+1.1
Torbjørn Heggem Defender	96	0	0	0.14	52.9	+1.1
Leo Østigård Defender	30	0	0	–	46.6	–
Jørgen Strand Larsen Forward	15	0	0	–	41.5	–
Ørjan Nyland Goalkeeper	96	0	0	–	29.2	−20.8

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper	96	0	0	–	77.8	+24.3
João Cancelo Defender	96	0	0	–	72.5	+18.9
Rúben Dias Defender	96	0	0	0.14	66.0	+9.3
Renato Veiga Defender	96	0	0	–	64.2	+6.2
Nuno Mendes Defender	96	0	0	–	63.9	+3.3
Francisco Conceição Forward	56	0	0	0.04	62.0	+6.6
Gonçalo Ramos Forward	81	1	0	0.45	59.3	+15.9
Rúben Neves Midfielder	16	0	0	–	57.9	–
João Félix Forward	96	1	0	0.14	57.4	+8.3
Bernardo Silva Midfielder	9	0	0	–	55.8	–
Vitinha Midfielder	41	0	0	–	55.8	–
João Neves Midfielder	55	0	0	0.09	54.7	−0.7
Pedro Neto Midfielder	87	0	1	0.02	52.3	−3.8
Francisco Trincão Midfielder	15	0	0	0.05	45.5	–
Rafael Leão Forward	40	0	0	0.09	45.3	–
João Palhinha Midfielder	80	0	0	–	39.6	−12.8