Serie A 25/26 · 10 May 2026

AC Milan 2–3 Atalanta

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Chances everywhere: 3.6 xG · Standout: Christopher Nkunku scored 90.8 · Breakout watch: Davide Bartesaghi

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Apr 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.9 – 1.1
Actual xG: 2.2 – 1.4
Goals: 2 – 3

Footybot made AC Milan favourites at 57%.

Atalanta won although AC Milan made the better chances (2.2 xG to 1.4): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Christopher Nkunku, 90.8 in 45′.

AC Milan

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Christopher Nkunku Forward	45	1	0	1.43	90.8
Strahinja Pavlović Defender	90	1	0	0.31	64.3
Pervis Estupiñán Midfielder	10	0	0	–	61.7
Zachary Athekame Defender	32	0	0	0.04	55.9
Niclas Füllkrug Forward	32	0	0	–	52.4
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder	32	0	0	0.03	51.2
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder	90	0	0	0.11	50.5
Samuele Ricci Midfielder	90	0	1	–	50.0
Matteo Gabbia Defender	90	0	0	0.05	49.2
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder	45	0	0	–	43.9
Rafael Leão Forward	58	0	0	0.11	42.0
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	41.4
Koni De Winter Defender	58	0	0	–	40.8
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder	80	0	0	–	40.0
Santiago Giménez Forward	58	0	0	0.11	39.4
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	33.8

Atalanta

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Raoul Bellanova Midfielder	35	0	0	–	69.9
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.6
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder	55	1	0	0.53	60.5
Isak Hien Defender	90	0	0	–	58.9
Éderson Midfielder	90	1	1	0.14	56.9
Giacomo Raspadori Forward	90	1	0	0.13	54.6
Mario Pašalić Midfielder	27	0	0	–	51.5
Charles De Ketelaere Forward	63	0	0	–	51.5
Giorgio Scalvini Defender	48	0	0	–	49.7
Nikola Krstović Forward	90	0	1	0.53	48.8
Honest Ahanor Defender	27	0	0	–	45.5
Odilon Kossounou Defender	15	0	0	–	41.6
Marten de Roon Midfielder	90	0	0	–	40.9
Sead Kolašinac Defender	90	0	0	–	40.8
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	40.4