AC Milan 1–0 AS Roma
Picked for matchday: Chances everywhere: 5.5 xG · Standout: Gianluca Mancini scored 93.1 · Breakout watch: Davide Bartesaghi
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.5 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 3.5 – 1.9
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made AC Milan favourites at 49%.
AC Milan won and made the better chances: 3.5 xG to 1.9.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gianluca Mancini, 93.1 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Gianluca Mancini +41.6, Mike Maignan +23.8, Zeki Çelik +23.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
AC Milan
| 28 Oct 2025 | D 1–1 | at Atalanta |
| 24 Oct 2025 | D 2–2 | v Pisa |
| 19 Oct 2025 | W 2–1 | v Fiorentina |
| 5 Oct 2025 | D 0–0 | at Juventus |
| 28 Sep 2025 | W 2–1 | v SSC Napoli |
AS Roma
| 29 Oct 2025 | W 2–1 | v Parma |
| 26 Oct 2025 | W 1–0 | at Sassuolo |
| 23 Oct 2025 | L 1–2 | v FC Viktoria Plzeň |
| 18 Oct 2025 | L 0–1 | v Inter |
| 5 Oct 2025 | W 2–1 | at Fiorentina |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
AC Milan
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Maignan | 90 | 72.1 | +23.8 |
| Strahinja Pavlović | 90 | 65.2 | +16.5 |
| Luka Modrić | 90 | 62.4 | −0.4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 84 | 60.5 | – |
| Alexis Saelemaekers | 87 | 59.0 | +0.8 |
| Matteo Gabbia | 90 | 56.7 | +6.8 |
| Rafael Leão | 89 | 55.0 | −3.5 |
| Koni De Winter | 90 | 53.0 | – |
| Ruben Loftus-Cheek | 13 | 52.0 | – |
| Zachary Athekame | 10 | 49.1 | – |
| Samuele Ricci | 90 | 48.6 | −1.6 |
| Davide Bartesaghi | 90 | 48.5 | −1.2 |
| Youssouf Fofana | 90 | 45.9 | −4.4 |
| Fikayo Tomori | 1 | 32.1 | – |
AS Roma
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gianluca Mancini | 90 | 93.1 | +41.6 |
| Lorenzo Pellegrini | 39 | 79.5 | – |
| Evan Ndicka | 90 | 75.5 | +18.5 |
| Matías Soulé | 51 | 73.7 | +16.0 |
| Neil El Aynaoui | 51 | 68.9 | +19.9 |
| Paulo Dybala | 84 | 68.5 | +1.8 |
| Zeki Çelik | 77 | 67.3 | +23.0 |
| Wesley | 90 | 67.2 | +17.7 |
| Bryan Cristante | 90 | 67.1 | +19.5 |
| Tommaso Baldanzi | 13 | 59.6 | – |
| Mile Svilar | 90 | 59.3 | +8.1 |
| Artem Dovbyk | 13 | 56.2 | – |
| Leon Bailey | 39 | 54.3 | – |
| Manu Koné | 90 | 51.0 | −1.4 |
| Mario Hermoso | 84 | 48.7 | −1.3 |
| Kostas Tsimikas | 13 | 27.7 | – |