Serie A 25/26 · 19 Oct 2025

AC Milan 2–1 Fiorentina

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made AC Milan favourites at 62%.

AC Milan won and made the better chances: 2.0 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rafael Leão, 66.6 in 89′.

Well above their usual level: Robin Gosens +13.0, Nicolò Fagioli +11.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

5 Oct 2025	L 1–2	v AS Roma Serie A
2 Oct 2025	W 2–0	v SK Sigma Olomouc Conference League
28 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Pisa Serie A
21 Sep 2025	L 1–2	v Como Serie A
13 Sep 2025	L 1–3	v SSC Napoli Serie A

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Koni De Winter Defender	8	0	0	–	89.1	–
Rafael Leão Forward	89	2	0	0.81	66.6	–
Luka Modrić Midfielder	90	0	0	–	59.9	−4.5
Fikayo Tomori Defender	90	0	0	0.15	50.0	+4.4
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.3	–
Matteo Gabbia Defender	90	0	0	0.04	47.8	−1.6
Strahinja Pavlović Defender	90	0	1	0.44	47.5	−4.8
Samuele Ricci Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.3	–
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.0	−4.8
Zachary Athekame Defender	57	0	0	0.03	44.4	–
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder	90	0	0	0.22	44.1	−6.5
Santiago Giménez Forward	33	0	0	0.18	42.6	–
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder	89	0	0	0.11	41.8	−18.1
Cheveyo Mul-Balentien Forward	1	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Edin Džeko Forward	10	0	–	89.1	–
Robin Gosens Defender	69	1	0.95	58.3	+13.0
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder	90	0	–	55.1	+11.4
Marin Pongračić Defender	90	0	0.03	54.0	+2.8
Pablo Marí Defender	90	0	–	48.8	−4.6
Jacopo Fazzini Midfielder	70	0	–	48.7	+0.0
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Midfielder	87	0	0.02	48.1	−0.5
Fabiano Parisi Defender	21	0	–	46.5	–
Luca Ranieri Defender	90	0	–	43.2	−4.4
Roberto Piccoli Forward	13	0	–	43.2	–
Albert Guðmundsson Forward	20	0	–	42.6	–
Moise Kean Forward	77	0	–	40.7	−7.9
Simon Sohm Midfielder	11	0	–	40.3	–
David De Gea Goalkeeper	90	0	–	39.7	−13.7
Dodô Defender	90	0	0.08	39.6	−6.5
Rolando Mandragora Midfielder	88	0	–	38.0	−8.9