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Fiorentina
Nicolò Fagioli

Nicolò Fagioli

Midfielder · Fiorentina · 25 · Italy

130 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
48.4
Serie A 26/27, 7 matches
Last 5 weeks
53.6
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€16.0M
+€2.0M (+14%) since 23 Dec 2025
Transfermarkt, 29 May 2026

Photo: Original: Timmy96 / Derivative work: Danyele, CC0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
12 Feb 2001
Height
178 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2028
Wikipedia views
6,661 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

40 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 52.3 (minutes-weighted); 2 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
13–19 Oct 202619062.549.865.6
6–12 Oct 202619051.549.751.8
29 Sep – 5 Oct 202618958.649.158.9
22–28 Sep 202617649.549.049.5
15–21 Sep 202619545.649.246.6
8–14 Sep 202619045.449.545.6
1–7 Sep 202619045.249.845.3
25–31 Aug 202613538.550.139.5
18–24 Aug 202616242.250.442.1
11–17 Aug 202615844.950.745.2
12–18 May 202616449.150.849.2
5–11 May 202619037.451.736.9
28 Apr – 4 May 202617544.852.145.0
21–27 Apr 202619050.052.351.0
14–20 Apr 2026212551.552.551.8
7–13 Apr 202618947.653.047.5
31 Mar – 6 Apr 202618951.053.243.9
17–23 Mar 2026217859.853.161.9
10–16 Mar 202629850.252.950.9
3–9 Mar 202619042.553.846.3
24 Feb – 2 Mar 2026214557.253.953.2
17–23 Feb 202618841.654.642.6
10–16 Feb 202618474.453.571.9
3–9 Feb 202619056.053.456.2
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202619069.352.570.0
20–26 Jan 202619042.753.243.2
13–19 Jan 202618957.953.058.7
6–12 Jan 2026218060.252.560.7
30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 202619041.653.042.3
23–29 Dec 202519056.252.957.2
16–22 Dec 202518263.652.365.1
9–15 Dec 202518765.951.367.9
2–8 Dec 202516255.251.155.4
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202527552.251.152.3
18–24 Nov 202519059.050.659.3
4–10 Nov 202511244.750.744.5
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202527275.150.676.0
21–27 Oct 2025211148.350.148.4
14–20 Oct 202519055.149.755.3
30 Sep – 6 Oct 202519035.650.835.6
16–22 Sep 202512841.551.041.2
9–15 Sep 202516539.451.739.0
26 Aug – 1 Sep 2025213542.552.543.0
19–25 Aug 2025218050.253.150.5

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (−1.0 a week).

30.040.050.060.070.080.019 Aug21 Oct9 Dec13 Jan17 Feb31 Mar5 May15 SepScore 62.5Expected 49.8
130

On the breakout watchlist

A 32% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 53.5 over 3,333 minutes in the last year, down 3.0 over the last 10 weeks. Valued €16.0M against €16.1M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €16.0M +€2.0M (+14%) since 23 Dec 2025 29 May 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €14.7M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €10.9M–€16.7M −14% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age +0% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Valentín Castellanos at 25 (€15.0M, scoring 48.7) +67%; Maxence Caqueret at 25 (€15.0M, scoring 48.6) −13%; Sam Beukema at 25 (€18.0M, scoring 49.3) +56%.
0€10M€20M€30M€40M202120222023202420252026€16.0M€14.7M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€14.7M
29 May 2026Transfermarkt€16.0M
24 Mar 2026Transfermarkt€16.0M
23 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€14.0M
17 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€18.0M
25 Mar 2025Transfermarkt€18.0M
18 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€20.0M
18 Jul 2024Transfermarkt€20.0M
5 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€15.0M
20 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€15.0M
15 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€35.0M
21 Mar 2023Transfermarkt€20.0M
11 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€8.0M
6 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€6.5M
15 Mar 2022Transfermarkt€4.0M
29 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€3.5M
3 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€1.2M
23 Mar 2021Transfermarkt€1.2M
11 Jan 2021Transfermarkt€900k
26 Jun 2020Transfermarkt€900k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
30 Jun 2025Fiorentina JuventusFree or loan
3 Feb 2025Juventus FiorentinaFree or loan
30 Jun 2022Cremonese JuventusFree or loan
31 Aug 2021Juventus CremoneseFree or loan

What the score is made of

Serie A 26/27, 552 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 640 top-five-league midfielder seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shooting50Creating33Progressing69Keeping the ball64Defending67Aerial0Finishing5
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shooting50−0.12
Creating33−0.23
Progressing69+0.16
Keeping the ball64+0.20
Defending67+0.05
Aerial0−0.69
Finishing5−0.32

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

02.0K4.0K6.0K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Andrea Cambiaso Juventus · 2656.2€15.0M97%Compare
Carlos Soler Real Sociedad · 29 · cheaper47.8€7.0M93%Compare
Maxence Caqueret Como · 26––92%Compare
Martin Ødegaard Arsenal · 2762.7€80.0M90%Compare
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 1. FC Köln · 23 · cheaper49.9€8.0M90%Compare
Jack Grealish Everton · 31––89%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Nicolò Fagioli.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Serie A 26/27Serie AFiorentina755248.449.2
UEFA Nations League 26/27UEFA Nations LeagueItaly216554.454.6
Coppa Italia 26/27Coppa ItaliaFiorentina15844.945.2
Serie A 25/26Serie AFiorentina332,56453.353.6
UEFA Conference League 25/26Conference LeagueFiorentina1163949.949.5
Serie A 24/25Serie AFiorentina321,54152.752.8
UEFA Conference League 24/25Conference LeagueFiorentina643054.353.3
UEFA Champions League 24/25Champions LeagueJuventus421165.567.4
Serie A 23/24Serie AJuventus844051.251.9

Latest matches

54 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
18 Oct 2026Serie AComoL 1–390000.310.3062.5
10 Oct 2026Serie Aat GenoaL 1–290000.030.0651.5
2 Oct 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat FranceD 1–18900–0.0358.6
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat TürkiyeW 4–17600–0.1449.5
20 Sep 2026Serie ASSC NapoliD 1–195000.130.0445.6
11 Sep 2026Serie Aat VeneziaW 4–290010.050.0645.4
5 Sep 2026Serie ATorinoL 1–290000.030.1545.2
29 Aug 2026Serie AFrosinoneL 0–335000.060.0438.5
24 Aug 2026Serie Aat AS RomaL 0–46200–0.0142.2
14 Aug 2026Coppa ItaliaBeneventoW 4–15800––44.9
All 54 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
18 Oct 2026Serie AComoL 1–390000.310.3062.5
10 Oct 2026Serie Aat GenoaL 1–290000.030.0651.5
2 Oct 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat FranceD 1–18900–0.0358.6
28 Sep 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat TürkiyeW 4–17600–0.1449.5
20 Sep 2026Serie ASSC NapoliD 1–195000.130.0445.6
11 Sep 2026Serie Aat VeneziaW 4–290010.050.0645.4
5 Sep 2026Serie ATorinoL 1–290000.030.1545.2
29 Aug 2026Serie AFrosinoneL 0–335000.060.0438.5
24 Aug 2026Serie Aat AS RomaL 0–46200–0.0142.2
14 Aug 2026Coppa ItaliaBeneventoW 4–15800––44.9
17 May 2026Serie Aat JuventusW 2–064000.010.0249.1
10 May 2026Serie AGenoaD 0–09000–0.0437.4
4 May 2026Serie Aat AS RomaL 0–475000.030.0344.8
26 Apr 2026Serie ASassuoloD 0–090000.120.1750.0
20 Apr 2026Serie Aat LecceD 1–18000–0.2051.0
16 Apr 2026Conference LeagueCrystal PalaceW 2–145000.030.1152.5
9 Apr 2026Conference Leagueat Crystal PalaceL 0–38900–0.0247.6
4 Apr 2026Serie Aat Hellas VeronaW 1–089100.190.0251.0
22 Mar 2026Serie AInterD 1–189000.200.0850.2
19 Mar 2026Conference Leagueat Raków CzęstochowaW 2–189000.200.6569.5
16 Mar 2026Serie Aat CremoneseW 4–190000.080.1450.1
12 Mar 2026Conference LeagueRaków CzęstochowaW 2–1800–0.0151.7
8 Mar 2026Serie AParmaD 0–090000.470.1042.5
2 Mar 2026Serie Aat UdineseL 0–38700–0.0951.9
26 Feb 2026Conference LeagueJagiellonia BiałystokL 2–458100.220.3765.0
23 Feb 2026Serie APisaW 1–088000.140.0541.6
14 Feb 2026Serie Aat ComoW 2–184100.640.0374.4
7 Feb 2026Serie ATorinoD 2–29000–0.3356.0
31 Jan 2026Serie Aat SSC NapoliL 1–29000–0.1369.3
24 Jan 2026Serie ACagliariL 1–290000.090.0642.7
18 Jan 2026Serie Aat BolognaW 2–189000.060.1757.9
11 Jan 2026Serie AAC MilanD 1–190000.030.1557.6
7 Jan 2026Serie Aat LazioD 2–29001–0.2162.7
4 Jan 2026Serie ACremoneseW 1–090000.110.1941.6
27 Dec 2025Serie Aat ParmaL 0–190000.080.0656.2
21 Dec 2025Serie AUdineseW 5–182020.100.5063.6
14 Dec 2025Serie AHellas VeronaL 1–287000.170.2965.9
6 Dec 2025Serie Aat SassuoloL 1–36200–0.0855.2
30 Nov 2025Serie Aat AtalantaL 0–26400–0.0553.3
27 Nov 2025Conference LeagueAEK AthensL 0–11100–0.0045.8
22 Nov 2025Serie AJuventusD 1–19000–0.1259.0
6 Nov 2025Conference Leagueat 1. FSV Mainz 05L 1–21200–0.0044.7
2 Nov 2025Serie ALecceL 0–14500–0.0342.8
29 Oct 2025Serie Aat InterL 0–32700–0.28100.0
26 Oct 2025Serie ABolognaD 2–25400–0.0044.6
23 Oct 2025Conference Leagueat SK Rapid WienW 3–057000.020.2951.9
19 Oct 2025Serie Aat AC MilanL 1–29000–0.0855.1
2 Oct 2025Conference LeagueSK Sigma OlomoucW 2–090000.060.0535.6
21 Sep 2025Serie AComoL 1–22800–0.0041.5
13 Sep 2025Serie ASSC NapoliL 1–36500–0.0039.4
31 Aug 2025Serie Aat TorinoD 0–045000.010.0348.1
28 Aug 2025Conference LeaguePolissya ZhytomyrW 3–29000––39.7
24 Aug 2025Serie Aat CagliariD 1–190000.030.1254.5
21 Aug 2025Conference Leagueat Polissya ZhytomyrW 3–09000––45.8