Matchday

Serie A 25/26 · 7 Jan 2026

Lazio 2–2 Fiorentina

Picked for matchday: Chances everywhere: 4.5 xG · Standout: Pedro scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Pietro Comuzzo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.5 – 1.0
Actual xG
2.9 – 1.6
Goals
2 – 2

Footybot made Lazio favourites at 49%.

Lazio deserved more from the draw, creating 2.9 xG to 1.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nicolò Fagioli, 62.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Nicolò Fagioli +8.4.

Well below it: Gustav Isaksen −15.6, Manuel Lazzari −12.8, Matteo Cancellieri −11.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Lazio

4 Jan 2026L 0–2v SSC Napoli Serie A
27 Dec 2025D 1–1at Udinese Serie A
20 Dec 2025D 0–0v Cremonese Serie A
13 Dec 2025W 1–0at Parma Serie A
7 Dec 2025D 1–1v Bologna Serie A

Fiorentina

4 Jan 2026W 1–0v Cremonese Serie A
27 Dec 2025L 0–1at Parma Serie A
21 Dec 2025W 5–1v Udinese Serie A
18 Dec 2025L 0–1at FC Lausanne-Sport Conference League
14 Dec 2025L 1–2v Hellas Verona Serie A

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Lazio

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Pedro Forward18100.88100.0–
Danilo Cataldi Midfielder90100.5353.3+5.6
Mario Gila Defender90000.3446.9−0.0
Mattia Zaccagni Forward90000.0546.8−4.9
Matías Vecino Midfielder6001–46.4−3.7
Alessio Romagnoli Defender90000.8145.7−5.6
Mattéo Guendouzi Midfielder9000–44.4−5.0
Ivan Provedel Goalkeeper9000–44.4−10.9
Gustav Isaksen Forward72000.0342.0−15.6
Matteo Cancellieri Forward90000.0940.9−11.1
Toma Bašić Midfielder30000.0740.4–
Luca Pellegrini Defender90000.0438.1−5.5
Elseid Hysaj Defender1000–35.2–
Manuel Lazzari Defender8000–31.3−12.8

Fiorentina

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia Midfielder100–100.0–
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder9001–62.7+8.4
Albert Guðmundsson Forward89100.9360.0+3.7
Pietro Comuzzo Defender9000–59.6+6.2
Robin Gosens Defender68100.3954.3+5.5
Marin Pongračić Defender9000–53.8+0.6
David De Gea Goalkeeper9000–53.8+6.0
Luca Ranieri Defender2200–50.6–
Cher Ndour Midfielder6800–48.1+2.6
Moise Kean Forward30000.2747.2–
Manor Solomon Forward2200–43.1–
Rolando Mandragora Midfielder90000.0342.7−8.8
Pablo Marí Defender100–42.6–
Fabiano Parisi Defender89000.0238.8−10.9
Roberto Piccoli Forward6000–38.3−9.8
Dodô Defender9000–37.6−8.2