Serie A 25/26 · 18 Jan 2026

Bologna 1–2 Fiorentina

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 20% · Breakout watch: Pietro Comuzzo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Bologna favourites at 57%.

Fiorentina won a close one on the chances: 1.7 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lewis Ferguson, 82.5 in 18′.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Lewis Ferguson Midfielder	18	0	0	–	82.5
Juan Miranda Defender	90	0	0	0.03	68.5
Jonathan Rowe Forward	45	0	1	0.20	65.8
Giovanni Fabbian Midfielder	45	1	0	0.27	62.6
Nicolò Casale Defender	90	0	0	–	50.5
Nadir Zortea Defender	45	0	0	–	50.0
Nikola Moro Midfielder	45	0	0	0.03	48.6
Remo Freuler Midfielder	45	0	0	–	48.1
Torbjørn Heggem Defender	90	0	0	0.08	47.2
Santiago Castro Forward	90	0	0	0.50	45.6
Federico Ravaglia Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.8
Nicolò Cambiaghi Forward	90	0	0	0.06	41.4
Tommaso Pobega Midfielder	72	0	0	–	38.4
Riccardo Orsolini Midfielder	45	0	0	0.02	30.8
Emil Holm Defender	45	0	0	0.12	30.4
Jens Odgaard Midfielder	45	0	0	–	30.4

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Rolando Mandragora Midfielder	72	1	0	0.40	68.7
Marco Brescianini Midfielder	18	0	0	0.05	68.6
Niccolò Fortini Defender	10	0	0	–	64.4
Roberto Piccoli Forward	90	1	0	0.73	58.3
Nicolò Fagioli Midfielder	89	0	0	0.06	57.9
Albert Guðmundsson Forward	72	0	1	–	55.9
Marin Pongračić Defender	90	0	0	0.36	54.8
Manor Solomon Forward	18	0	0	0.02	53.5
David De Gea Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.9
Simon Sohm Midfielder	18	0	0	–	47.2
Fabiano Parisi Defender	80	0	0	0.11	46.7
Cher Ndour Midfielder	72	0	0	–	44.6
Pietro Comuzzo Defender	90	0	0	–	43.7
Robin Gosens Defender	90	0	0	–	41.3
Dodô Defender	90	0	0	–	36.8
Luca Ranieri Defender	1	0	0	–	0.0