Türkiye 1–4 Italy
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 1.4
- Actual xG
- 1.9 – 2.5
- Goals
- 1 – 4
Footybot made Türkiye favourites at 46%.
Italy won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.9.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Davide Frattesi, 73.7 in 82′.
Well above their usual level: Davide Frattesi +28.0, Giacomo Raspadori +22.2, Francesco Pio Esposito +19.5.
Well below it: Ozan Kabak −18.8, Can Uzun −18.2, Arda Güler −15.6.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Türkiye
| 25 Sep 2026 | L 0–1 | v France |
| 26 Jun 2026 | W 3–2 | v USA |
| 20 Jun 2026 | L 0–1 | v Paraguay |
| 14 Jun 2026 | L 0–2 | at Australia |
| 31 Mar 2026 | W 1–0 | at Kosovo |
Italy
| 25 Sep 2026 | L 0–2 | v Belgium |
| 31 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | at Bosnia & Herzegovina |
| 26 Mar 2026 | W 2–0 | v Northern Ireland |
| 16 Nov 2025 | L 1–4 | v Norway |
| 13 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | at Moldova |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Türkiye
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demir Ege Tıknaz | 14 | 100.0 | – |
| İsmail Yüksek | 45 | 70.9 | +17.8 |
| Abdülkerim Bardakcı | 45 | 56.5 | +9.0 |
| Arda Güler | 90 | 54.9 | −15.6 |
| Eren Elmalı | 90 | 52.8 | +8.7 |
| Oğuz Aydın | 90 | 51.7 | +1.1 |
| Barış Alper Yılmaz | 80 | 50.3 | +9.7 |
| Merih Demiral | 45 | 48.9 | +4.6 |
| Kerem Aktürkoğlu | 45 | 48.4 | +0.1 |
| Salih Özcan | 76 | 45.9 | −0.7 |
| Ozan Kabak | 90 | 44.6 | −18.8 |
| Orkun Kökçü | 45 | 41.5 | −8.1 |
| Deniz Gül | 10 | 39.3 | – |
| Zeki Çelik | 90 | 34.9 | −9.6 |
| Can Uzun | 45 | 34.6 | −18.2 |
| Altay Bayındır | 90 | 34.4 | −10.5 |
Italy
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Davide Frattesi | 82 | 73.7 | +28.0 |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 45 | 70.5 | +22.2 |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | 75 | 70.3 | +19.5 |
| Matteo Ruggeri | 90 | 68.4 | +16.3 |
| Giorgio Scalvini | 90 | 66.5 | +15.4 |
| Michael Kayode | 90 | 65.6 | +11.3 |
| Alessandro Romano | 14 | 59.9 | – |
| Alessandro Bastoni | 90 | 54.5 | −0.7 |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 90 | 53.8 | +0.1 |
| Sandro Tonali | 90 | 52.1 | −2.2 |
| Giovanni Di Lorenzo | 8 | 50.6 | – |
| Sebastiano Esposito | 63 | 50.3 | −4.3 |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | 45 | 49.8 | +0.6 |
| Nicolò Fagioli | 76 | 49.5 | +4.9 |
| Issa Doumbia | 27 | 43.4 | – |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 15 | 35.5 | – |