FOOTYBOT
Matchday

World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026 · 16 Nov 2025

Italy 1–4 Norway

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Standout: Jørgen Strand Larsen scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 2.3
Actual xG
–
Goals
1 – 4

Footybot made Norway favourites at 46%.

No xG was recorded for this match, so only the result can be read.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Matteo Politano, 100.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Matteo Politano +43.0, Antonio Nusa +42.1, Federico Dimarco +41.4.

Well below it: Gianluigi Donnarumma −27.8, Erling Haaland −11.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Italy

13 Nov 2025W 2–0at Moldova World Cup Qualification UEFA
14 Oct 2025W 3–0v Israel World Cup Qualification UEFA
11 Oct 2025W 3–1at Estonia World Cup Qualification UEFA
8 Sep 2025W 5–4at Israel World Cup Qualification UEFA
5 Sep 2025W 5–0v Estonia World Cup Qualification UEFA

Norway

13 Nov 2025W 4–1v Estonia World Cup Qualification UEFA
11 Oct 2025W 5–0v Israel World Cup Qualification UEFA
9 Sep 2025W 11–1v Moldova World Cup Qualification UEFA

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Italy

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Matteo Politano Midfielder9000–100.0+43.0
Federico Dimarco Midfielder9001–100.0+41.4
Alessandro Buongiorno Defender800–100.0–
Nicolò Barella Midfielder8600–91.6+35.8
Alessandro Bastoni Defender8600–77.3+21.7
Manuel Locatelli Midfielder7900–69.2+13.7
Gianluca Mancini Defender9000–69.0+12.6
Gianluca Scamacca Forward1100–60.7–
Giovanni Di Lorenzo Defender9000–55.0+9.6
Bryan Cristante Midfielder2200–54.3–
Francesco Pio Esposito Forward7910–51.7−1.2
Mateo Retegui Forward9000–49.0−2.3
Mattia Zaccagni Forward1100–40.9–
Davide Frattesi Midfielder6800–36.4−3.7
Samuele Ricci Midfielder800–35.8–
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper9000–23.3−27.8

Norway

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Antonio Nusa Forward9010–100.0+42.1
Oscar Bobb Midfielder1401–100.0–
Jørgen Strand Larsen Forward510–100.0–
Leo Østigård Defender100–100.0–
Morten Thorsby Midfielder2602–98.8–
Alexander Sørloth Forward7601–73.9+24.8
Kristoffer Ajer Defender9000–65.9+10.6
Julian Ryerson Midfielder9000–63.8+2.1
Thelo Aasgaard Midfielder1500–57.8–
Patrick Berg Midfielder6400–56.5−0.6
Ørjan Nyland Goalkeeper9000–55.0+9.3
Sander Berge Midfielder9000–53.1+1.1
David Møller Wolfe Defender8900–53.1+8.3
Kristian Thorstvedt Midfielder7500–52.2+6.7
Torbjørn Heggem Defender9000–49.8+0.7
Erling Haaland Forward8920–46.9−11.5