Moldova 0–2 Italy
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.1 – 3.4
- Actual xG
- –
- Goals
- 0 – 2
Footybot made Italy favourites at 80%.
No xG was recorded for this match, so only the result can be read.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Mattia Zaccagni, 78.8 in 82′.
Well above their usual level: Mattia Zaccagni +25.6, Gianluca Mancini +21.7, Andrea Cambiaso +21.4.
Well below it: Sandro Tonali −21.8.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Moldova
| 14 Oct 2025 | D 1–1 | at Estonia |
| 9 Sep 2025 | L 1–11 | at Norway |
| 5 Sep 2025 | L 0–4 | v Israel |
Italy
| 14 Oct 2025 | W 3–0 | v Israel |
| 11 Oct 2025 | W 3–1 | at Estonia |
| 8 Sep 2025 | W 5–4 | at Israel |
| 5 Sep 2025 | W 5–0 | v Estonia |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Moldova
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ioan-Calin Revenco | 90 | 59.1 | – |
| Virgiliu Postolachi | 55 | 53.5 | −5.8 |
| Oleg Reabciuk | 55 | 52.5 | +5.8 |
| Artur Ioniță | 90 | 50.1 | – |
| Ion Nicolaescu | 75 | 50.0 | – |
| Victor Bogaciuc | 29 | 49.3 | – |
| Vadim Rață | 75 | 45.8 | −3.1 |
| Ștefan Bîtca | 35 | 42.3 | – |
| Sergiu Perciun | 61 | 38.3 | – |
| Ştefan Bodişteanu | 15 | 33.4 | – |
| Vladimir Fratea | 15 | 18.0 | – |
Italy
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Dimarco | 15 | 100.0 | – |
| Matteo Politano | 15 | 100.0 | – |
| Mattia Zaccagni | 82 | 78.8 | +25.6 |
| Andrea Cambiaso | 75 | 77.5 | +21.4 |
| Gianluca Mancini | 90 | 75.8 | +21.7 |
| Riccardo Orsolini | 75 | 71.1 | +17.3 |
| Bryan Cristante | 90 | 59.1 | +9.6 |
| Giacomo Raspadori | 65 | 58.7 | +5.2 |
| Alessandro Buongiorno | 90 | 56.9 | +7.6 |
| Raoul Bellanova | 90 | 55.4 | +1.3 |
| Guglielmo Vicario | 90 | 52.0 | +0.3 |
| Gianluca Scamacca | 65 | 51.4 | +1.0 |
| Francesco Pio Esposito | 25 | 49.8 | – |
| Mateo Retegui | 25 | 40.6 | – |
| Sandro Tonali | 90 | 40.5 | −21.8 |
| Davide Frattesi | 8 | 16.6 | – |