UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 25 Sep 2026

Italy 0–2 Belgium

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Chances everywhere: 4.3 xG · Standout: Issa Doumbia scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Diego Coppola

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Italy favourites at 49%.

Belgium won and made the better chances: 2.7 xG to 1.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Diego Coppola, 82.3 in 65′.

Well above their usual level: Diego Coppola +34.3, Mika Godts +30.6, Kevin De Bruyne +26.4.

Well below it: Timothy Castagne −15.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

31 Mar 2026	D 1–1	at Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup Qualification UEFA
26 Mar 2026	W 2–0	v Northern Ireland World Cup Qualification UEFA
16 Nov 2025	L 1–4	v Norway World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Nov 2025	W 2–0	at Moldova World Cup Qualification UEFA
14 Oct 2025	W 3–0	v Israel World Cup Qualification UEFA

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Issa Doumbia Midfielder	10	–	100.0	–
Giorgio Scalvini Defender	25	0.14	91.2	–
Diego Coppola Defender	65	–	82.3	+34.3
Nicolò Barella Midfielder	80	0.03	78.7	+22.8
Riccardo Calafiori Defender	90	0.08	70.0	+21.2
Nicolò Cambiaghi Forward	80	0.02	66.9	+20.4
Alessandro Romano Midfielder	65	0.11	65.8	+20.1
Daniel Maldini Forward	25	–	65.1	–
Giovanni Di Lorenzo Defender	90	0.24	59.2	+15.5
Gianluca Mancini Defender	90	0.10	59.0	+8.5
Mohamed Ali Zoma Forward	10	–	55.7	–
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper	90	–	52.6	+0.4
Davide Frattesi Midfielder	25	0.09	51.1	–
Francesco Pio Esposito Forward	65	0.27	51.0	−0.6
Moise Kean Forward	90	0.47	50.3	+7.3
Sandro Tonali Midfielder	90	0.03	48.6	−6.4

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Dodi Lukebakio Midfielder	32	1	0	0.04	82.0	–
Kevin De Bruyne Midfielder	58	0	1	0.13	81.9	+26.4
Mika Godts Forward	83	1	0	0.85	79.8	+30.6
Brandon Mechele Defender	90	0	0	–	60.6	+1.2
Hans Vanaken Midfielder	32	0	0	0.03	60.4	–
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	59.6	+10.2
Roméo Lavia Midfielder	16	0	0	–	58.5	–
Charles De Ketelaere Forward	84	0	1	0.14	57.0	+0.5
Youri Tielemans Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	54.7	−4.5
Diego Moreira Midfielder	58	0	0	0.91	51.2	+2.6
Matías Fernández-Pardo Forward	11	0	0	–	50.0	–
Maxim De Cuyper Defender	90	0	0	0.06	49.8	−5.1
Nathan Ngoy Defender	90	0	0	0.04	45.5	−4.5
Nicolas Raskin Midfielder	74	0	0	0.46	44.7	−1.0
Timothy Castagne Defender	90	0	0	0.01	39.9	−15.0
Romelu Lukaku Forward	10	0	0	–	33.9	–