World Cup 2026, Round of 32 · 1 Jul 2026

Belgium 2–2 Senegal

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jun 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Belgium favourites at 71%.

Senegal deserved more from the draw, creating 3.6 xG to 1.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Habib Diarra, 73.6 in 73′.

Well above their usual level: Habib Diarra +28.6, Sadio Mané +22.4, Ibrahim Mbaye +19.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

27 Jun 2026	W 5–1	at New Zealand World Cup 2026
21 Jun 2026	D 0–0	v Iran World Cup 2026
15 Jun 2026	D 1–1	v Egypt World Cup 2026
18 Nov 2025	W 7–0	v Liechtenstein World Cup Qualification UEFA
15 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Kazakhstan World Cup Qualification UEFA

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Thomas Meunier Defender	42	0	1	0.02	67.4	–
Dodi Lukebakio Midfielder	64	0	0	0.19	59.1	+4.1
Youri Tielemans Midfielder	120	2	0	0.98	58.5	+8.7
Romelu Lukaku Forward	75	1	0	0.16	58.5	–
Brandon Mechele Defender	120	0	0	0.07	56.8	+6.2
Timothy Castagne Defender	120	0	0	0.06	56.1	+2.3
Leandro Trossard Forward	109	0	1	0.13	52.8	+2.8
Nicolas Raskin Midfielder	64	0	0	0.05	52.2	+7.2
Arthur Theate Defender	120	0	0	0.02	52.0	+4.5
Amadou Onana Midfielder	11	0	0	–	49.4	–
Jérémy Doku Midfielder	56	0	0	–	48.1	−22.1
Diego Moreira Midfielder	57	0	0	–	46.0	−3.1
Hans Vanaken Midfielder	63	0	0	–	45.7	−6.6
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	45.6	−8.7
Kevin De Bruyne Midfielder	56	0	0	0.06	42.5	−10.8
Maxim De Cuyper Defender	78	0	0	0.06	39.3	−19.1
Charles De Ketelaere Forward	45	0	0	–	34.4	−17.9

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Habib Diarra Midfielder	73	1	0	1.09	73.6	+28.6
Ismaïla Sarr Forward	120	1	0	1.53	73.1	+18.1
Bara Sapoko Ndiaye Midfielder	24	0	0	0.03	70.3	–
Sadio Mané Midfielder	93	0	0	0.04	69.4	+22.4
Ibrahim Mbaye Forward	47	0	0	0.42	68.5	+19.3
Krépin Diatta Midfielder	120	0	0	–	57.9	+12.4
Pathé Ismaël Ciss Midfielder	120	0	0	0.08	57.6	+5.7
Iliman Ndiaye Midfielder	73	0	0	0.10	56.1	+3.6
El Hadji Malick Diouf Defender	27	0	0	–	54.0	–
Pape Gueye Midfielder	66	0	0	0.07	52.8	+5.9
Lamine Camara Midfielder	54	0	0	–	51.1	−6.0
Moussa Niakhaté Defender	120	0	1	–	51.0	−4.4
Pape Matar Sarr Midfielder	47	0	0	0.20	50.8	−1.4
Idrissa Gana Gueye Midfielder	96	0	0	0.07	48.1	−2.0
Ismail Jakobs Defender	93	0	0	–	47.2	+2.2
Nicolas Jackson Forward	27	0	0	–	44.1	–
Mory Diaw Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	41.3	−8.8