FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Serie A 25/26 · 23 Nov 2025

Inter 0–1 AC Milan

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 15% · Standout: Ruben Loftus-Cheek scored 87.1 · Breakout watch: Davide Bartesaghi

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 0.9
Actual xG
1.9 – 1.1
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Inter favourites at 64%.

AC Milan won although Inter made the better chances (1.9 xG to 1.1): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Christian Pulišić, 74.0 in 78′.

Well above their usual level: Mike Maignan +18.5, Francesco Acerbi +10.8, Fikayo Tomori +9.9.

Well below it: Rafael Leão −17.2, Federico Dimarco −13.6, Lautaro Martínez −13.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Inter

9 Nov 2025W 2–0v Lazio Serie A
5 Nov 2025W 2–1v FC Kairat Almaty Champions League
2 Nov 2025W 2–1at Hellas Verona Serie A
29 Oct 2025W 3–0v Fiorentina Serie A
25 Oct 2025L 1–3at SSC Napoli Serie A

AC Milan

8 Nov 2025D 2–2at Parma Serie A
2 Nov 2025W 1–0v AS Roma Serie A
28 Oct 2025D 1–1at Atalanta Serie A
24 Oct 2025D 2–2v Pisa Serie A
19 Oct 2025W 2–1v Fiorentina Serie A

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Inter

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Piotr Zieliński Midfielder1200–85.4–
Francesco Acerbi Defender85000.3568.8+10.8
Hakan Çalhanoğlu Midfielder78000.8864.6−9.4
Nicolò Barella Midfielder85000.0864.4+3.9
Alessandro Bastoni Defender90000.0464.2+6.8
Andy Diouf Midfielder10000.0259.5–
Manuel Akanji Defender90000.0255.2+5.4
Marcus Thuram Forward90000.1052.6−5.8
Yann Sommer Goalkeeper9000–50.6−3.8
Federico Dimarco Midfielder90000.0650.4−13.6
Carlos Augusto Defender90000.0549.6−8.1
Petar Sučić Midfielder90000.0448.9−8.6
Ange-Yoan Bonny Forward24000.1046.6–
Lautaro Martínez Forward66000.1845.1−13.5
Francesco Pio Esposito Forward1000–36.6–

AC Milan

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ruben Loftus-Cheek Midfielder900–87.1–
Christian Pulišić Forward78100.7674.0+4.7
Mike Maignan Goalkeeper9000–67.9+18.5
Alexis Saelemaekers Midfielder90000.1756.2−2.5
Fikayo Tomori Defender9000–55.0+9.9
Strahinja Pavlović Defender9000–50.6−3.6
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder9000–50.5−4.3
Luka Modrić Midfielder9000–47.9−11.5
Matteo Gabbia Defender9000–47.9−0.8
Youssouf Fofana Midfielder78000.1045.9−3.3
Davide Bartesaghi Midfielder90000.0443.6−6.0
Rafael Leão Forward8600–42.2−17.2
Christopher Nkunku Forward1200–39.4–
Samuele Ricci Midfielder1200–37.2–