UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 1 Oct 2026

Denmark 2–4 Portugal

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 25% · Standout: João Félix scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Denmark favourites at 53%.

Portugal won and made the better chances: 2.7 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bruno Fernandes, 87.6 in 89′.

Well above their usual level: Gonçalo Ramos +33.3, Bruno Fernandes +25.8, Oliver Provstgaard +19.8.

Well below it: Diogo Costa −24.0, Renato Veiga −15.1, Rúben Neves −9.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

27 Sep 2026	W 2–0	v Wales UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	L 2–3	at Norway UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026	D 1–1	at Czechia World Cup Qualification UEFA
26 Mar 2026	W 4–0	v North Macedonia World Cup Qualification UEFA
18 Nov 2025	L 2–4	at Scotland World Cup Qualification UEFA

27 Sep 2026	W 2–1	at Norway UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	W 1–0	v Wales UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2026	L 0–1	v Spain World Cup 2026
2 Jul 2026	W 2–1	v Croatia World Cup 2026
27 Jun 2026	D 0–0	at Colombia World Cup 2026

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder	85	1	1	0.05	77.9	+18.0
Oliver Provstgaard Defender	90	0	0	–	70.2	+19.8
Gustav Isaksen Forward	45	0	0	0.10	66.8	+14.2
Rasmus Højlund Forward	90	1	0	0.36	60.2	+12.8
Joakim Mæhle Defender	80	0	1	0.04	59.7	+13.6
Victor Froholdt Midfielder	16	0	0	–	58.5	–
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	56.3	+0.5
Nikolas Nartey Midfielder	10	0	0	–	55.8	–
Adam Daghim Forward	45	0	0	–	54.1	+5.2
Rasmus Kristensen Defender	90	0	0	–	53.9	+10.6
Joachim Andersen Defender	90	0	0	–	51.1	−7.5
Morten Hjulmand Midfielder	74	0	0	0.06	47.2	−9.0
Mads Hermansen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.6	−5.9
Kasper Høgh Forward	10	0	0	–	43.2	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
João Félix Forward	9	1	0	0.15	100.0	–
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder	89	0	2	0.09	87.6	+25.8
Gonçalo Ramos Forward	81	1	1	1.19	78.9	+33.3
Tomás Araújo Defender	1	0	0	–	75.0	–
Nuno Mendes Defender	90	0	0	0.03	67.9	+7.0
João Cancelo Defender	63	1	0	0.63	67.6	+14.1
Rafael Leão Forward	63	0	0	0.13	62.8	+14.7
Vitinha Midfielder	90	1	0	0.40	62.2	−0.8
Rúben Dias Defender	90	0	0	–	60.1	+0.9
Pedro Neto Midfielder	81	0	0	0.08	57.2	+1.0
Diogo Dalot Defender	27	0	1	–	57.2	–
João Neves Midfielder	9	0	0	–	49.2	–
Rúben Neves Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	48.7	−9.6
Francisco Trincão Midfielder	27	0	0	–	45.1	–
Renato Veiga Defender	90	0	0	–	43.5	−15.1
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	31.5	−24.0