UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 27 Sep 2026

Denmark 2–0 Wales

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Denmark favourites at 61%.

Denmark won a close one on the chances: 0.8 xG to 0.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Joachim Andersen, 72.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Chris Mepham +22.9, Oliver Provstgaard +18.1, Brennan Johnson +15.5.

Well below it: Morten Hjulmand −9.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

24 Sep 2026	L 2–3	at Norway UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026	D 1–1	at Czechia World Cup Qualification UEFA
26 Mar 2026	W 4–0	v North Macedonia World Cup Qualification UEFA
18 Nov 2025	L 2–4	at Scotland World Cup Qualification UEFA
15 Nov 2025	D 2–2	v Belarus World Cup Qualification UEFA

24 Sep 2026	L 0–1	at Portugal UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2026	D 1–1	v Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup Qualification UEFA
18 Nov 2025	W 7–1	v North Macedonia World Cup Qualification UEFA
15 Nov 2025	W 1–0	at Liechtenstein World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Oct 2025	L 2–4	v Belgium World Cup Qualification UEFA

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Adam Daghim Forward	14	0	–	78.4	–
Joachim Andersen Defender	90	0	0.13	72.0	+15.2
Kasper Høgh Forward	8	0	0.09	67.8	–
Oliver Provstgaard Defender	90	0	0.06	66.3	+18.1
Gustav Isaksen Forward	76	1	0.13	64.9	+13.3
Victor Froholdt Midfielder	8	0	0.04	58.9	–
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder	87	0	0.14	55.2	−5.5
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper	90	0	–	54.1	+9.8
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder	90	0	0.05	50.2	−4.7
Patrick Dorgu Midfielder	30	0	0.02	49.8	–
Morten Hjulmand Midfielder	90	0	0.02	49.6	−9.0
Rasmus Kristensen Defender	90	0	–	48.7	+7.3
Joakim Mæhle Defender	90	0	0.03	47.9	+1.7
Rasmus Højlund Forward	87	0	0.09	46.5	+0.0

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Ben Davies Defender	90	–	68.2	+9.2
Chris Mepham Defender	90	–	67.3	+22.9
Jordan James Midfielder	23	–	65.6	–
Brennan Johnson Forward	83	0.05	64.0	+15.5
Neco Williams Defender	90	0.09	57.5	+6.2
Lewis Koumas Forward	23	–	52.8	–
Danny Ward Goalkeeper	90	–	50.9	+1.7
Sorba Thomas Midfielder	90	0.02	50.3	+13.0
Kieffer Moore Forward	67	0.06	48.8	+6.4
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder	90	0.06	46.9	−5.7
Josh Sheehan Midfielder	30	–	46.6	–
Daniel James Midfielder	67	–	44.0	−6.4
Connor Roberts Defender	90	0.38	43.6	+8.0
Charlie Savage Midfielder	60	–	43.5	–
Wes Burns Midfielder	12	–	35.9	–