FOOTYBOT
Matchday

World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026, Semifinals · 26 Mar 2026

Wales 1–1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Standout: Sorba Thomas scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Esmir Bajraktarević

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 1.2
Actual xG
–
Goals
1 – 1

Footybot made Wales favourites at 59%.

No xG was recorded for this match, so only the result can be read.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kerim Alajbegović, 84.6 in 58′.

Well above their usual level: Mark Harris +34.5, Kerim Alajbegović +27.5, David Brooks +20.1.

Well below it: Daniel James −15.7, Benjamin Tahirović −10.9.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Wales

18 Nov 2025W 7–1v North Macedonia World Cup Qualification UEFA
15 Nov 2025W 1–0at Liechtenstein World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Oct 2025L 2–4v Belgium World Cup Qualification UEFA
4 Sep 2025W 1–0at Kazakhstan World Cup Qualification UEFA

Bosnia & Herzegovina

18 Nov 2025D 1–1at Austria World Cup Qualification UEFA
15 Nov 2025W 3–1v Romania World Cup Qualification UEFA
9 Oct 2025D 2–2at Cyprus World Cup Qualification UEFA
9 Sep 2025L 1–2v Austria World Cup Qualification UEFA
6 Sep 2025W 6–0at San Marino World Cup Qualification UEFA

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Wales

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Sorba Thomas Midfielder3600–100.0–
David Brooks Midfielder7400–75.9+20.1
Mark Harris Forward4600–73.1+34.5
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder12000–69.4+18.1
Harry Wilson Midfielder12000–67.7+12.6
Joe Rodon Defender12000–62.5+12.9
Liam Cullen Forward6400–57.3+15.0
Neco Williams Defender12000–55.8+1.4
Dylan Lawlor Defender12000–55.3−0.9
Karl Darlow Goalkeeper12000–55.2+4.1
Brennan Johnson Forward12000–47.9+2.3
Jordan James Midfielder5600–45.6+7.2
Jay DaSilva Defender12000–44.4+9.6
Daniel James Midfielder8410–34.0−15.7

Bosnia & Herzegovina

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Kerim Alajbegović Midfielder5801–84.6+27.5
Haris Tabaković Forward4200–84.2–
Ivan Bašić Midfielder5800–78.8+5.1
Nikola Katić Defender12000–68.3+11.3
Edin Džeko Forward9010–62.0+12.2
Armin Gigović Midfielder800–57.9–
Esmir Bajraktarević Forward12000–55.8+2.4
Ivan Šunjić Midfielder7800–54.0+11.8
Tarik Muharemović Defender12000–51.3+1.3
Ermedin Demirović Forward12000–50.1+2.5
Nikola Vasilj Goalkeeper12000–48.8−3.7
Amar Memić Midfielder7400–48.1−1.3
Amir Hadžiahmetović Midfielder3000–47.6–
Sead Kolašinac Defender6200–45.8−4.1
Amar Dedić Defender11200–44.2−4.0
Benjamin Tahirović Midfielder6200–40.0−10.9