Serie A 25/26 · 29 Nov 2025

Genoa 2–1 Hellas Verona

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Genoa favourites at 54%.

Genoa won although Hellas Verona made the better chances (2.3 xG to 1.7): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rafik Belghali, 77.4 in 81′.

Well above their usual level: Morten Thorsby +27.6, Rafik Belghali +24.5, Aarón Martín +14.7.

Well below it: Lorenzo Montipò −8.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Aarón Martín Midfielder	90	0	0	–	77.2	+14.7
Morten Thorsby Midfielder	90	1	0	0.67	75.3	+27.6
Lorenzo Colombo Forward	67	1	0	0.62	61.8	+14.0
Leo Østigård Defender	90	0	0	0.10	61.0	+3.5
Nicola Leali Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	53.6	+8.7
Mikael Ellertsson Midfielder	85	0	1	0.16	50.1	+5.3
Morten Frendrup Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.2	+3.5
Ruslan Malinovskyi Midfielder	85	0	0	0.09	47.7	−3.0
Johan Vásquez Defender	90	0	0	–	47.6	−0.3
Alessandro Marcandalli Defender	90	0	0	0.02	46.0	+6.5
Vitinha Forward	72	0	1	0.04	45.5	−5.1
Patrizio Masini Midfielder	18	0	0	0.04	42.7	–
Valentín Carboni Midfielder	11	0	0	–	41.5	–
Caleb Ekuban Forward	23	0	0	–	41.1	–
Stefano Sabelli Midfielder	11	0	0	–	31.9	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Gift Orban Forward	24	0	0.71	93.2	–
Rafik Belghali Midfielder	81	1	0.61	77.4	+24.5
Moatasem Al-Musrati Midfielder	9	0	0.10	67.4	–
Cheikh Niasse Midfielder	81	0	–	62.5	–
Martin Frese Midfielder	60	0	0.21	61.4	+12.2
Unai Núñez Defender	90	0	–	56.5	+6.0
Giovane Forward	90	0	0.21	53.5	+4.4
Victor Nelsson Defender	90	0	–	52.5	+2.2
Roberto Gagliardini Midfielder	90	0	0.30	49.0	+3.3
Nicolás Valentini Defender	90	0	–	44.7	−0.3
Amin Sarr Forward	24	0	–	42.0	–
Domagoj Bradarić Midfielder	30	0	0.04	41.7	–
Daniel Mosquera Forward	66	0	0.09	41.7	–
Daniel Oyegoke Midfielder	9	0	0.02	41.5	–
Lorenzo Montipò Goalkeeper	90	0	–	41.3	−8.3
Antoine Bernede Midfielder	66	0	–	39.5	−3.7