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FC Nordsjælland
Victor Nelsson

Victor Nelsson

Defender · FC Nordsjælland · 28 · Denmark

504 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
33.3
UEFA Conference League 26/27, 2 matches
Last 5 weeks
43.6
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€5.0M
−€1.0M (−17%) since 29 May 2026
Transfermarkt, 2 Oct 2026

Photo: beIN SPORTS Türkiye, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
14 Oct 1998
Height
187 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2030
Wikipedia views
1,101 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 27 Oct – 2 Nov 2026

37 of 70 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 50.8 (minutes-weighted); 1 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
20–26 Oct 20261307.649.77.5
13–19 Oct 202618342.550.242.5
19–25 May 202619039.150.839.0
12–18 May 202619044.051.344.1
5–11 May 202619053.751.254.1
28 Apr – 4 May 202619038.752.038.6
21–27 Apr 202619047.352.447.2
14–20 Apr 202619068.451.468.5
7–13 Apr 202619046.251.846.1
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026214959.251.658.8
24–30 Mar 202619046.551.546.7
17–23 Mar 202619056.351.256.2
10–16 Mar 202619047.051.646.9
3–9 Mar 202619059.151.159.6
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202619037.952.037.7
17–23 Feb 202619056.651.856.6
10–16 Feb 202619042.352.542.2
3–9 Feb 202619066.951.667.0
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202619049.951.749.9
20–26 Jan 202619049.651.949.6
13–19 Jan 2026218059.051.359.3
6–12 Jan 2026210252.751.053.6
30 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 202619058.550.558.4
23–29 Dec 202519058.250.059.0
9–15 Dec 202519049.750.149.6
2–8 Dec 202519059.249.459.2
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202519050.649.350.6
18–24 Nov 202516448.449.348.4
4–10 Nov 202519069.847.869.8
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2025218044.448.144.4
21–27 Oct 202519032.749.332.6
14–20 Oct 202519039.150.139.0
30 Sep – 6 Oct 202519052.549.952.5
23–29 Sep 202519075.147.875.1
16–22 Sep 202519040.848.440.7
9–15 Sep 202519046.148.546.0
26 Aug – 1 Sep 202519044.348.844.3
19–25 Aug 202519038.649.738.4

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: −2.2 a week below expectation.

20.040.060.080.019 Aug30 Sep18 Nov30 Dec3 Feb10 Mar14 Apr19 MayExpected 50.2Score 42.5
504

On the breakout watchlist

A 17% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 51.6 over 2,858 minutes in the last year, down 4.6 over the last 10 weeks. Wikipedia views 1.2× below similar performers. Valued €5.0M against €5.9M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €5.0M −€1.0M (−17%) since 29 May 2026 2 Oct 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €5.4M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €2.7M–€4.6M −29% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age −17% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Tomasz Kędziora at 28 (€4.5M, scoring 42.2) −44%; Kaan Ayhan at 28 (€4.5M, scoring 42.7) +0%; Carlos Junior at 28 (€6.0M, scoring 41.9) −25%.
0€5.0M€10M€15M€20M2017201820192020202120222023202420252026€5.0M€5.4M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€5.4M
2 Oct 2026Transfermarkt€5.0M
29 May 2026Transfermarkt€6.0M
23 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€7.5M
7 Oct 2025Transfermarkt€9.0M
17 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€10.0M
23 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€14.0M
4 Oct 2024Transfermarkt€16.0M
31 May 2024Transfermarkt€17.0M
15 Mar 2024Transfermarkt€15.0M
21 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€15.0M
27 Sep 2023Transfermarkt€19.0M
8 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€18.0M
14 Mar 2023Transfermarkt€16.5M
27 Oct 2022Transfermarkt€14.0M
13 Sep 2022Transfermarkt€14.0M
1 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€12.0M
31 Mar 2022Transfermarkt€10.0M
4 Jan 2022Transfermarkt€8.5M
12 Oct 2021Transfermarkt€7.0M
4 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€3.5M
23 Dec 2020Transfermarkt€3.0M
31 Jul 2020Transfermarkt€4.5M
8 Apr 2020Transfermarkt€4.5M
22 Dec 2019Transfermarkt€5.0M
8 Jun 2019Transfermarkt€3.0M
21 Dec 2018Transfermarkt€1.3M
2 Jun 2018Transfermarkt€700k
18 Dec 2017Transfermarkt€500k
21 Jun 2017Transfermarkt€350k
12 Dec 2016Transfermarkt€350k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
2 Sep 2026Galatasaray NordsjaellandFree
30 Jun 2026Hellas Verona GalatasarayBack from loan
21 Aug 2025Galatasaray Hellas VeronaLoan, €650k fee
30 Jun 2025Roma GalatasarayBack from loan
3 Feb 2025Galatasaray RomaLoan, €500k fee
11 Aug 2021Copenhagen Galatasaray€7.0M

What the score is made of

UEFA Conference League 26/27, 113 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 547 top-five-league defender seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shooting0Creating0Progressing0Keeping the ball25Defending33Aerial77Finishing65
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shooting0−0.42
Creating0−0.54
Progressing0−0.56
Keeping the ball25−0.49
Defending33−0.11
Aerial77+0.36
Finishing65+0.04

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

01.0K2.0K3.0K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Bernardo Schappo CF Estrela Amadora · 27––97%Compare
Dane Murray Celtic · 23 · cheaper59.4€750k96%Compare
Victor Gabriel Internacional · 22––96%Compare
Visar Musliu Sint-Truidense VV · 31 · cheaper54.7€1.0M96%Compare
Emir Ortakaya Kocaelispor · 22 · cheaper52.3€600k96%Compare
Ahmed Touba Le Havre · 28 · cheaper50.4€2.5M96%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Victor Nelsson.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
UEFA Conference League 26/27Conference LeagueFC Nordsjælland211333.333.2
World Cup Qualification, UEFA 2026World Cup Qualification UEFADenmark215056.756.4
Serie A 25/26Serie AHellas Verona383,31550.750.8
UEFA Nations League 24/25UEFA Nations LeagueDenmark433749.749.7
Super Lig 24/25Süper LigGalatasaray1130044.544.7
Serie A 24/25Serie AAS Roma418553.153.1
UEFA Champions League 24/25Champions LeagueGalatasaray218055.355.1
UEFA Europa League 24/25Europa LeagueGalatasaray47151.751.6
Coppa Italia 24/25Coppa ItaliaAS Roma11130.731.6
Int. Friendly Games 2024International FriendliesDenmark211457.457.1
Super Lig 23/24Süper LigGalatasaray322,57047.947.7
UEFA Champions League 23/24Champions LeagueGalatasaray846449.149.1
UEFA Europa League 23/24Europa LeagueGalatasaray16237.437.4
Super Lig 22/23Süper LigGalatasaray332,96445.545.7
Super Lig 21/22Süper LigGalatasaray363,24045.645.8
UEFA Europa League 21/22Europa LeagueGalatasaray872045.345.5

Latest matches

42 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
22 Oct 2026Conference LeagueCSKA SofiaD 2–23000–0.007.6
15 Oct 2026Conference Leagueat Heart of MidlothianD 1–18300–0.0042.5
24 May 2026Serie AAS RomaL 0–29000–0.0539.1
17 May 2026Serie Aat InterD 1–190000.020.0044.0
10 May 2026Serie AComoL 0–190000.060.0053.7
3 May 2026Serie Aat JuventusD 1–19000–0.0038.7
25 Apr 2026Serie ALecceD 0–09000–0.0047.3
19 Apr 2026Serie AAC MilanL 0–19000–0.0168.4
11 Apr 2026Serie Aat TorinoL 1–29000–0.0146.2
4 Apr 2026Serie AFiorentinaL 0–18900–0.0150.6
All 42 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
22 Oct 2026Conference LeagueCSKA SofiaD 2–23000–0.007.6
15 Oct 2026Conference Leagueat Heart of MidlothianD 1–18300–0.0042.5
24 May 2026Serie AAS RomaL 0–29000–0.0539.1
17 May 2026Serie Aat InterD 1–190000.020.0044.0
10 May 2026Serie AComoL 0–190000.060.0053.7
3 May 2026Serie Aat JuventusD 1–19000–0.0038.7
25 Apr 2026Serie ALecceD 0–09000–0.0047.3
19 Apr 2026Serie AAC MilanL 0–19000–0.0168.4
11 Apr 2026Serie Aat TorinoL 1–29000–0.0146.2
4 Apr 2026Serie AFiorentinaL 0–18900–0.0150.6
31 Mar 2026World Cup Qualification UEFAat CzechiaD 1–16000––72.1
26 Mar 2026World Cup Qualification UEFANorth MacedoniaW 4–09000––46.5
22 Mar 2026Serie Aat AtalantaL 0–19000–0.0156.3
15 Mar 2026Serie AGenoaL 0–29000–0.0047.0
8 Mar 2026Serie Aat BolognaW 2–190000.070.0459.1
28 Feb 2026Serie ASSC NapoliL 1–29000–0.0137.9
20 Feb 2026Serie Aat SassuoloL 0–39000–0.0156.6
15 Feb 2026Serie Aat ParmaL 1–29000–0.0042.3
6 Feb 2026Serie APisaD 0–09000–0.0066.9
31 Jan 2026Serie Aat CagliariL 0–49000–0.0149.9
26 Jan 2026Serie AUdineseL 1–39000–0.0049.6
19 Jan 2026Serie Aat CremoneseD 0–090000.050.0058.1
15 Jan 2026Serie ABolognaL 2–390000.030.0059.9
11 Jan 2026Serie ALazioL 0–190000.120.0953.2
7 Jan 2026Serie Aat SSC NapoliD 2–21200–0.0049.4
4 Jan 2026Serie ATorinoL 0–39000–0.0158.5
28 Dec 2025Serie Aat AC MilanL 0–390000.110.0158.2
14 Dec 2025Serie Aat FiorentinaW 2–19000–0.0049.7
6 Dec 2025Serie AAtalantaW 3–19000–0.0059.2
29 Nov 2025Serie Aat GenoaL 1–29000–0.0050.6
23 Nov 2025Serie AParmaL 1–26400–0.0048.4
8 Nov 2025Serie Aat LecceD 0–09000–0.0069.8
2 Nov 2025Serie AInterL 1–29000–0.0045.2
29 Oct 2025Serie Aat ComoL 1–390000.030.0043.6
26 Oct 2025Serie ACagliariD 2–29000–0.0232.7
18 Oct 2025Serie Aat PisaD 0–09000–0.0039.1
3 Oct 2025Serie ASassuoloL 0–19000–0.0152.5
28 Sep 2025Serie Aat AS RomaL 0–29000–0.0175.1
20 Sep 2025Serie AJuventusD 1–19000–0.0040.8
15 Sep 2025Serie ACremoneseD 0–09000–0.0046.1
31 Aug 2025Serie Aat LazioL 0–49000–0.0044.3
25 Aug 2025Serie Aat UdineseD 1–19000–0.0038.6