Matchday

Liga Portugal 25/26 · 30 Nov 2025

FC Porto 1–0 Estoril Praia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.4 – 0.7
Actual xG
1.4 – 1.0
Goals
1 – 0

Footybot made FC Porto favourites at 76%.

FC Porto won a close one on the chances: 1.4 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rafik Guitane, 81.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Rafik Guitane +29.1, Felix Bacher +19.5, Joel Robles +13.3.

Well below it: Zaidu Sanusi −14.5, Francisco Moura −10.3, Pablo Rosario −10.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

FC Porto

27 Nov 2025W 3–0v Nice Europa League
9 Nov 2025W 1–0at Famalicão Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2025D 1–1at FC Utrecht Europa League
2 Nov 2025W 2–1v Sporting Braga Liga Portugal
27 Oct 2025W 2–1at Moreirense Liga Portugal

Estoril Praia

7 Nov 2025W 4–3v FC Arouca Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2025W 4–0at Rio Ave Liga Portugal
26 Oct 2025D 1–1v CD Nacional Liga Portugal
3 Oct 2025D 2–2at Casa Pia Liga Portugal
27 Sep 2025L 0–1v Sporting CP Liga Portugal

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

FC Porto

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jan Bednarek Defender90000.0257.2−0.8
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper9000–55.3+9.3
Gabri Veiga Midfielder31000.0554.7–
Jakub Kiwior Defender90000.1348.0−1.6
Luuk de Jong Forward22000.0844.9–
William Gomes Forward90100.1044.5−4.7
Rodrigo Mora Midfielder5900–44.2−5.9
Borja Sainz Forward82000.2541.8−7.0
Alberto Costa Defender5900–40.9−7.3
Samu Aghehowa Forward68000.6540.7−7.9
Victor Froholdt Midfielder90000.0839.7−5.1
Francisco Moura Defender4500–39.1−10.3
Pablo Rosario Midfielder9000–38.7−10.1
Zaidu Sanusi Defender4500–35.4−14.5
Martim Fernandes Defender3100–34.9–
Stephen Eustaquio Midfielder800–26.1–

Estoril Praia

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Gonçalo Costa Defender3400–89.2–
Rafik Guitane Midfielder9000–81.2+29.1
Felix Bacher Defender9000–67.5+19.5
Ferro Defender24000.0466.1–
Jordan Holsgrove Midfielder90000.0159.2+4.0
Joel Robles Goalkeeper9000–58.1+13.3
Yanis Begraoui Forward90000.5153.3+4.1
Pedro Carvalho Defender34000.0446.9–
Kévin Boma Defender9000–46.0−0.9
Ricard Sánchez Defender56000.1845.8−4.4
Jandro Orellana Midfielder6600–44.4–
João Carvalho Midfielder90000.2044.2−1.3
André Lacximicant Forward75000.0743.0−3.4
Alejandro Marqués Forward1500–38.9–
Pedro Amaral Defender5600–38.7−2.0