Premier League 25/26 · 3 Dec 2025

Brighton & Hove Albion 3–4 Aston Villa

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 17% · Chances everywhere: 4.7 xG · Standout: Donyell Malen scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Mats Wieffer

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.9 – 0.9
Actual xG: 2.2 – 2.5
Goals: 3 – 4

Footybot made Brighton & Hove Albion favourites at 61%.

Aston Villa won a close one on the chances: 2.5 xG to 2.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Donyell Malen, 100.0 in 13′.

Brighton & Hove Albion

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Charalampos Kostoulas Forward	13	0	0	0.06	75.5
Yankuba Minteh Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	66.4
Jan Paul van Hecke Defender	90	2	0	1.03	61.8
Danny Welbeck Forward	23	0	0	0.52	57.5
Mats Wieffer Defender	90	0	1	–	57.3
Maxim De Cuyper Defender	90	0	0	0.06	54.2
Carlos Baleba Midfielder	78	0	0	–	54.2
Jack Hinshelwood Midfielder	66	0	1	0.33	52.1
Lewis Dunk Defender	90	0	0	–	43.9
Bart Verbruggen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.9
Diego Gómez Midfielder	90	0	0	–	42.1
Stefanos Tzimas Forward	24	0	0	–	38.9
Brajan Gruda Midfielder	77	0	0	0.08	37.5
Joël Veltman Defender	12	0	0	–	34.0
Ferdi Kadıoğlu Defender	67	0	0	–	32.5

Aston Villa

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score
Donyell Malen Forward	13	1	0	0.37	100.0
Ian Maatsen Defender	70	0	0	0.06	96.4
Ollie Watkins Forward	86	2	0	1.03	80.8
Youri Tielemans Midfielder	20	0	0	–	79.9
Amadou Onana Midfielder	90	1	0	0.17	61.7
Matty Cash Defender	90	0	1	–	58.5
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	90	0	1	–	56.0
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	0.27	55.8
Pau Torres Defender	90	0	0	–	54.5
Marco Bizot Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.8
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder	70	0	0	–	49.3
Evann Guessand Forward	86	0	1	0.59	49.0
Lucas Digne Defender	20	0	0	–	43.4
John McGinn Midfielder	77	0	0	0.02	41.1
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	11	0	0	–	40.4
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	11	0	0	–	38.2