Grêmio 2–1 Fortaleza
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.7 – 1.2
- Actual xG
- 2.5 – 1.7
- Goals
- 2 – 1
Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 48%.
Grêmio won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.7.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Martin Braithwaite, 60.5 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Breno Lopes +9.8.
Well below it: Gustavo Martins −12.1, Gastón Ávila −8.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Grêmio
| 27 Jul 2025 | L 0–1 | at Palmeiras |
| 19 Jul 2025 | D 1–1 | at Vasco da Gama |
| 13 Jul 2025 | L 1–4 | at Cruzeiro |
Fortaleza
| 26 Jul 2025 | W 3–1 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
| 19 Jul 2025 | D 1–1 | v Bahia |
| 13 Jul 2025 | L 0–1 | v Ceará |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Braithwaite | 90 | 60.5 | – |
| Tiago Volpi | 90 | 49.3 | −2.3 |
| Mathias Villasanti | 90 | 46.6 | – |
| Riquelme Freitas | 66 | 45.9 | – |
| Edenilson | 8 | 42.8 | – |
| Cristian Olivera | 90 | 42.5 | – |
| Wagner Leonardo | 90 | 42.5 | −3.7 |
| Gustavo Martins | 54 | 41.1 | −12.1 |
| Cristian Pavón | 25 | 39.9 | – |
| Dodi | 90 | 39.5 | – |
| Walter Kannemann | 90 | 39.1 | – |
| Marlon | 90 | 37.4 | – |
| Alysson | 83 | 33.6 | – |
| Camilo | 37 | 30.1 | – |
Fortaleza
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Martínez | 11 | 95.6 | – |
| Yago Pikachu | 15 | 71.6 | – |
| Benjamin Kuscevic | 90 | 55.0 | +4.3 |
| Deyverson | 85 | 54.6 | – |
| Matheus Pereira | 90 | 54.3 | +5.2 |
| Lucas Sasha | 90 | 52.8 | +5.7 |
| Adam Bareiro | 11 | 45.5 | – |
| Breno Lopes | 90 | 44.3 | +9.8 |
| Eros Mancuso | 85 | 43.7 | – |
| Diogo Barbosa | 29 | 43.5 | – |
| Magrão | 90 | 39.9 | – |
| Juan Martín Lucero | 29 | 39.2 | – |
| Bruno Pacheco | 62 | 38.8 | – |
| José Herrera | 62 | 38.4 | – |
| Lucca Prior | 76 | 37.2 | – |
| Gastón Ávila | 90 | 31.6 | −8.4 |