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Bahia

Cristian Olivera

Forward · Bahia · 24 · Uruguay

172 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
50.5
Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 24 matches
Last 5 weeks
49.2
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€5.0M
−€1.0M (−17%) since 6 Jun 2025
Transfermarkt, 26 May 2026
Born
17 Apr 2002
Height
170 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
31 Dec 2026
Wikipedia views
263 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

21 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 48.1 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
20–26 Oct 202619037.850.438.4
13–19 Oct 202616548.450.649.8
6–12 Oct 2026215456.950.060.2
8–14 Sep 202619749.249.850.3
1–7 Sep 2026110248.349.948.1
25–31 Aug 202615646.050.146.4
18–24 Aug 202619055.349.761.5
26 May – 1 Jun 202612540.849.839.9
19–25 May 202611949.749.850.5
12–18 May 202616550.049.849.9
5–11 May 202611840.150.042.8
28 Apr – 4 May 202615649.050.049.4
21–27 Apr 2026214654.349.455.3
14–20 Apr 202618547.449.547.8
7–13 Apr 202619051.749.452.5
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026215453.948.959.4
17–23 Mar 2026215451.948.253.3
10–16 Mar 2026214446.848.046.7
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202611943.348.042.6
17–23 Feb 202616336.348.736.3
10–16 Feb 202619043.449.142.7
3–9 Feb 202612887.748.067.5
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202612644.647.948.4
4–10 Nov 202511438.048.036.8
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202511553.947.855.5
14–20 Oct 202525056.947.468.0
23–29 Sep 202512339.747.342.4
16–22 Sep 202512847.547.247.2
9–15 Sep 2025213546.647.047.2
26 Aug – 1 Sep 202516038.847.337.7
19–25 Aug 202517553.046.853.3
12–18 Aug 202518439.447.338.7
5–11 Aug 202515845.847.245.6
29 Jul – 4 Aug 202519043.147.443.5
22–28 Jul 2025211538.648.137.9
15–21 Jul 202515437.248.636.3

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (+0.8 a week).

30.040.050.060.022 Jul19 Aug10 Feb17 Mar14 Apr18 Aug6 OctExpected 50.4Score 37.8
172

On the breakout watchlist

A 31% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 50.9 over 1,865 minutes in the last year, up 0.9 over the last 10 weeks. Wikipedia views 11× below similar performers. Valued €5.0M against €11.4M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €5.0M −€1.0M (−17%) since 6 Jun 2025 26 May 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €5.4M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €4.0M–€7.8M +0% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age +0% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Junior Adamu at 24 (€5.0M, scoring 49.3) −60%; Ruan at 24 (€4.5M, scoring 49.5) −56%; Nathan N'Goumou at 24 (€5.0M, scoring 50.0) −20%.
0€2.0M€4.0M€6.0M202120222023202420252026€5.0M€5.4M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€5.4M
26 May 2026Transfermarkt€5.0M
10 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€5.0M
6 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€6.0M
12 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€6.0M
26 Sep 2024Transfermarkt€6.0M
13 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€4.0M
18 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€4.0M
22 Aug 2023Transfermarkt€4.0M
10 Jul 2023Transfermarkt€1.0M
3 Apr 2023Transfermarkt€550k
12 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€450k
2 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€300k
1 Jan 2022Transfermarkt€400k
10 Sep 2021Transfermarkt€600k
19 Mar 2021Transfermarkt€1.0M
8 Jan 2021Transfermarkt€1.5M
23 Nov 2020Transfermarkt€1.5M
8 Oct 2020Transfermarkt€1.8M
30 Aug 2020Transfermarkt€750k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
5 Jan 2026Grêmio EC BahiaFree or loan
14 Feb 2025LAFC Grêmio€4.3M
4 Aug 2023UD Almería LAFC€4.1M
31 Jul 2023Boston River UD AlmeríaFree or loan
1 Jul 2022UD Almería Boston RiverFree or loan
30 Jun 2022Peñarol UD AlmeríaFree or loan

What the score is made of

Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 1,616 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 295 top-five-league forward seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shooting20Creating87Progressing84Keeping the ball80Defending66Aerial15Finishing11
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shooting20−0.35
Creating87+0.55
Progressing84+0.51
Keeping the ball80+0.41
Defending66+0.08
Aerial15−0.60
Finishing11−0.25

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

05001.0K1.5K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Alesson Mirassol · 27 · cheaper46.6€2.5M97%Compare
Ademir Bahia · 31 · cheaper51.4€1.2M97%Compare
Francisco Conceição Juventus · 2355.7€30.0M95%Compare
Mattia Zaccagni Lazio · 3154.1€7.5M94%Compare
Matteo Tramoni Pisa · 26––93%Compare
Danel Sinani Sampdoria · 29––93%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Cristian Olivera.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Brasileiro Serie A 2026Brasileirão Série ABahia241,61650.551.8
World Cup Qualification, CONMEBOL 2025World Cup Qualification CONMEBOLUruguay948741.742.8
Copa do Brasil 2026Copa do BrasilBahia213849.149.5
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026Copa LibertadoresBahia28237.937.8
Brasileiro Serie A 2025Brasileirão Série AGrêmio221,28946.146.0
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2025Copa SudamericanaGrêmio739143.544.9
Copa do Brasil 2025Copa do BrasilGrêmio427055.655.0

Latest matches

44 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
25 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat SantosD 1–190000.180.0037.8
18 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série AFlamengoL 0–365000.120.0148.4
11 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série AMirassolW 1–072000.470.2255.2
9 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat PalmeirasL 0–18200–0.3458.3
14 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ARemoW 2–197010.130.5449.2
5 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Red Bull BragantinoW 3–210200–0.2348.3
30 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série AInternacionalW 3–256000.050.4546.0
23 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat VitóriaW 2–090000.560.0955.3
30 May 2026Brasileirão Série ABotafogoW 2–12500–0.0140.8
25 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CoritibaL 2–319000.020.0549.7
All 44 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
25 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat SantosD 1–190000.180.0037.8
18 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série AFlamengoL 0–365000.120.0148.4
11 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série AMirassolW 1–072000.470.2255.2
9 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat PalmeirasL 0–18200–0.3458.3
14 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ARemoW 2–197010.130.5449.2
5 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Red Bull BragantinoW 3–210200–0.2348.3
30 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série AInternacionalW 3–256000.050.4546.0
23 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat VitóriaW 2–090000.560.0955.3
30 May 2026Brasileirão Série ABotafogoW 2–12500–0.0140.8
25 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CoritibaL 2–319000.020.0549.7
14 May 2026Copa do Brasilat RemoL 1–26500–0.2050.0
10 May 2026Brasileirão Série ACruzeiroL 1–218000.070.0040.1
3 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat São PauloD 2–256000.030.0649.0
25 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série ASantosD 2–273000.020.7660.3
22 Apr 2026Copa do BrasilRemoL 1–373000.09–48.3
19 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoL 0–285000.060.0347.4
11 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série Aat MirassolW 2–190000.070.2251.7
5 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série APalmeirasL 1–269000.100.0551.3
1 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série AAthleticoW 3–085000.780.0255.9
22 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série Aat RemoL 1–468010.030.5253.3
18 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série ARed Bull BragantinoW 2–086000.190.1150.8
15 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série Aat InternacionalW 1–070000.040.0147.4
11 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série AVitóriaD 1–17400–0.0546.3
25 Feb 2026Copa LibertadoresO'HigginsW 2–11900–0.0143.3
18 Feb 2026Copa Libertadoresat O'HigginsL 0–163000.100.0236.3
12 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Vasco da GamaW 1–09000–0.0143.4
5 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série AFluminenseD 1–128100.270.0187.7
28 Jan 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CorinthiansW 2–126000.120.0044.6
5 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série ACruzeiroL 0–11400–0.0038.0
2 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat CorinthiansL 0–215000.020.0053.9
19 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat BahiaL 0–427000.020.0353.9
16 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série ASão PauloW 2–023000.560.0060.5
24 Sep 2025Brasileirão Série ABotafogoD 1–123000.090.0039.7
21 Sep 2025Brasileirão Série Aat InternacionalW 3–22800–0.0047.5
13 Sep 2025Brasileirão Série AMirassolL 0–145000.080.0545.4
9 Sep 2025World Cup Qualification CONMEBOLat ChileD 0–09000––47.2
31 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoD 1–16000–0.0038.8
24 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série ACearáD 0–075000.010.2153.0
17 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série Aat Atlético MineiroW 3–184000.030.0039.4
10 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série ASport RecifeL 0–158000.020.0445.8
29 Jul 2025Brasileirão Série AFortalezaW 2–190000.110.0943.1
27 Jul 2025Brasileirão Série Aat PalmeirasL 0–170000.010.0037.6
24 Jul 2025Copa SudamericanaAlianza LimaD 1–145000.040.0340.3
19 Jul 2025Brasileirão Série Aat Vasco da GamaD 1–154000.020.0037.2