FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 16 Oct 2025

Grêmio 2–0 São Paulo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.3 – 1.3
Actual xG
2.9 – 0.9
Goals
2 – 0

Footybot saw it as open: Grêmio 38%, the draw 26%, São Paulo 36%.

Grêmio won and made the better chances: 2.9 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Carlos Vinícius, 71.5 in 67′.

Well above their usual level: Carlos Vinícius +22.7, Cristian Pavón +20.3, Alisson +9.6.

Well below it: Rodriguinho −8.7, Luciano −8.4, Francis Amuzu −8.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Grêmio

4 Oct 2025L 0–1at Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A
2 Oct 2025D 1–1at Santos Brasileirão Série A
28 Sep 2025W 3–1v Vitória Brasileirão Série A
24 Sep 2025D 1–1v Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
21 Sep 2025W 3–2at Internacional Brasileirão Série A

São Paulo

5 Oct 2025L 2–3v Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
2 Oct 2025W 2–0at Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A
29 Sep 2025L 0–1v Ceará Brasileirão Série A
21 Sep 2025L 0–1at Santos Brasileirão Série A
14 Sep 2025W 1–0v Botafogo Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Grêmio

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Carlos Vinícius Forward67201.3471.5+22.7
Cristian Pavón Midfielder61000.1169.5+20.3
Cristian Olivera Forward23000.5656.7–
Gabriel Grando Goalkeeper9000–55.1−4.1
Dodi Midfielder9000–47.2+2.6
Franco Cristaldo Midfielder23000.3746.5–
Arthur Midfielder8500–44.2−5.0
Edenilson Midfielder85000.2144.0−3.3
Gustavo Martins Defender1100–43.3–
Marcos Rocha Defender90000.0143.3−1.8
Wagner Leonardo Defender90000.1742.2−6.4
Francis Amuzu Midfielder67000.0841.7−8.1
Erick Noriega Midfielder9000–39.9−6.8
Lucas Esteves Defender90000.0138.5–
Gustavo Cuéllar Midfielder1100–35.7–
Alysson Midfielder2900–34.8–

São Paulo

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Wendell Defender1300–88.4–
Alisson Midfielder9000–54.6+9.6
Alan Javier Franco Defender4500–54.3+3.2
Sabino Defender9000–53.8−0.3
Emiliano Rigoni Midfielder10000.0952.4–
Marcos Antônio Midfielder90000.0851.4+1.8
Maílton Defender9000–51.1–
Luiz Gustavo Midfielder23000.0250.8–
Rafael Goalkeeper9000–49.7−1.7
Robert Arboleda Defender90000.0649.5−4.4
Patryck Midfielder77000.0249.0–
Lucas Moura Forward45000.0446.9–
Luciano Forward80000.2746.0−8.4
Ferreirinha Midfielder24000.2645.3–
Gonzalo Tapia Forward67000.1141.5−7.9
Rodriguinho Midfielder6600–40.3−8.7