Brasileiro Serie A 2026 · 5 Apr 2026

Bahia 1–2 Palmeiras

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Bahia favourites at 42%.

Palmeiras won although Bahia made the better chances (1.3 xG to 0.3): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Caio Alexandre, 72.6 in 69′.

Well above their usual level: Caio Alexandre +26.3, Everton Ribeiro +21.3, David Duarte +16.4.

Well below it: Allan −17.5, José Manuel López −9.8, Murilo −8.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Apr 2026	W 3–0	v Athletico Brasileirão Série A
22 Mar 2026	L 1–4	at Remo Brasileirão Série A
18 Mar 2026	W 2–0	v Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A
15 Mar 2026	W 1–0	at Internacional Brasileirão Série A
11 Mar 2026	D 1–1	v Vitória Brasileirão Série A

3 Apr 2026	W 2–1	v Grêmio Brasileirão Série A
22 Mar 2026	W 1–0	at São Paulo Brasileirão Série A
18 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
15 Mar 2026	W 1–0	v Mirassol Brasileirão Série A
12 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A

28 Sep 2025	Bahia 1–0 Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Caio Alexandre Midfielder	69	0	0	–	72.6	+26.3
Everton Ribeiro Midfielder	74	0	1	0.39	70.3	+21.3
David Duarte Defender	90	1	0	0.31	69.5	+16.4
Ademir Forward	21	0	0	0.03	59.8	–
Michel Araújo Midfielder	16	0	0	0.03	56.4	–
Léo Vieira Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	54.9	+1.7
Nicolás Acevedo Midfielder	90	0	0	0.11	53.1	+7.0
Luciano Juba Defender	90	0	0	0.01	51.5	−0.6
Everaldo Forward	69	0	0	0.31	51.4	+3.3
Dell Forward	12	0	0	–	49.0	–
Cristian Olivera Forward	69	0	0	0.10	49.0	+4.1
Erick Midfielder	21	0	0	–	47.8	–
Santiago Ramos Mingo Defender	90	0	0	0.03	46.7	+0.1
Jean Lucas Midfielder	90	0	0	0.01	46.3	−0.5
Erick Pulga Forward	86	0	0	–	44.4	−0.0
Willian José Forward	21	0	0	–	40.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jhon Arias Midfielder	60	1	0	0.02	61.5	+11.1
Ramón Sosa Forward	30	0	0	–	58.4	–
Khellven Defender	9	0	0	–	55.9	–
Felipe Anderson Midfielder	26	0	0	0.05	55.3	–
Carlos Miguel Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.8	−2.7
Andreas Pereira Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	49.3	−2.1
Marlon Freitas Midfielder	90	0	0	–	45.9	−2.3
Gustavo Gómez Defender	90	0	0	–	45.6	−4.0
Murilo Defender	90	0	0	–	44.0	−8.3
Agustín Giay Defender	90	0	0	–	41.6	+1.4
Luighi Hanri Forward	30	0	0	–	41.4	–
José Manuel López Forward	60	0	1	–	41.4	−9.8
Arthur Gabriel Defender	81	0	0	0.03	41.1	–
Mauricio Midfielder	60	0	0	0.08	39.8	−5.5
Lucas Evangelista Midfielder	30	0	0	0.03	36.5	–
Allan Midfielder	64	0	0	–	31.5	−17.5