Bahia 1–1 Vitória
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.7 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 2.0 – 0.4
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Bahia favourites at 56%.
Bahia deserved more from the draw, creating 2.0 xG to 0.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lucas Arcanjo, 59.6 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Lucas Arcanjo +14.8.
Well below it: Luciano Juba −15.6, Rodrigo Nestor −14.7, Marinho −8.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Bahia
| 25 Feb 2026 | W 2–1 | v O'Higgins |
| 18 Feb 2026 | L 0–1 | at O'Higgins |
| 12 Feb 2026 | W 1–0 | at Vasco da Gama |
| 5 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | v Fluminense |
| 28 Jan 2026 | W 2–1 | at Corinthians |
Vitória
| 11 Feb 2026 | L 1–2 | v Flamengo |
| 5 Feb 2026 | L 1–5 | at Palmeiras |
| 28 Jan 2026 | W 2–0 | v Remo |
| 7 Dec 2025 | W 1–0 | v São Paulo |
| 3 Dec 2025 | L 0–4 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
Head to head
| 17 Oct 2025 | Vitória 2–1 Bahia |
Bahia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ademir | 16 | 56.7 | – |
| Gabriel Xavier | 90 | 56.6 | +4.2 |
| Willian José | 62 | 50.1 | −0.1 |
| David Martins | 9 | 49.3 | – |
| Mateo Sanabria | 29 | 49.2 | – |
| Jean Lucas | 90 | 48.1 | +1.8 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | 90 | 46.8 | −1.1 |
| Ronaldo | 90 | 45.9 | −4.9 |
| Erick | 74 | 44.5 | −3.5 |
| Cristian Olivera | 74 | 44.1 | +1.8 |
| Everaldo | 28 | 43.5 | – |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | 90 | 42.3 | −5.9 |
| Erick Pulga | 61 | 37.0 | −8.0 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | 89 | 36.8 | −14.7 |
| Luciano Juba | 90 | 35.4 | −15.6 |
| Michel Araújo | 16 | 26.3 | – |
Vitória
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aitor Cantalapiedra | 19 | 89.3 | – |
| Lucas Arcanjo | 90 | 59.6 | +14.8 |
| Matheuzinho | 71 | 55.3 | +4.6 |
| Ramon | 89 | 48.7 | +6.9 |
| Cacá | 90 | 47.0 | −4.3 |
| Camutanga | 19 | 46.0 | – |
| Caique Gonçalves | 90 | 46.0 | +1.1 |
| Edu | 71 | 45.4 | −0.1 |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 90 | 42.8 | −2.7 |
| Jamerson | 1 | 42.2 | – |
| Emmanuel Martínez | 90 | 41.8 | – |
| Renato Kayzer | 45 | 41.8 | −3.9 |
| Fabrício Santos | 45 | 39.9 | – |
| Nathan Mendes | 90 | 39.3 | −1.5 |
| Marinho | 61 | 39.0 | −8.0 |
| Erick | 29 | 22.9 | – |