Vitória 1–0 São Paulo
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.6 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 2.3 – 0.3
- Goals
- 1 – 0
Footybot made Vitória favourites at 52%.
Vitória won and made the better chances: 2.3 xG to 0.3.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rafael, 63.5 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Luiz Gustavo +14.5, Rafael +13.0.
Well below it: Raúl Cáceres −23.6, Dudu −14.2, Zé Marcos −11.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Vitória
| 3 Dec 2025 | L 0–4 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
| 29 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | v Mirassol |
| 23 Nov 2025 | W 3–1 | at Sport Recife |
| 19 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Palmeiras |
| 9 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | v Botafogo |
São Paulo
| 3 Dec 2025 | W 3–0 | v Internacional |
| 27 Nov 2025 | L 0–6 | at Fluminense |
| 23 Nov 2025 | W 2–1 | v Juventude |
| 20 Nov 2025 | L 1–3 | at Corinthians |
| 9 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | v Red Bull Bragantino |
Head to head
| 9 Aug 2025 | São Paulo 2–0 Vitória |
Vitória
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrício Santos | 26 | 55.1 | – |
| Thiago Couto | 90 | 53.9 | −3.8 |
| Renzo López | 17 | 50.1 | – |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 82 | 48.9 | +6.0 |
| Matheuzinho | 45 | 47.5 | −2.8 |
| Erick | 90 | 46.7 | −2.2 |
| Camutanga | 45 | 46.4 | +2.1 |
| Renato Kayzer | 73 | 43.7 | +0.1 |
| Ramon | 90 | 42.4 | −2.2 |
| Aitor Cantalapiedra | 45 | 42.2 | −5.7 |
| Ronald | 8 | 40.6 | – |
| Willian Oliveira | 90 | 39.5 | −4.4 |
| Neris | 90 | 38.0 | −7.5 |
| Zé Marcos | 90 | 36.8 | −11.3 |
| Dudu | 45 | 29.7 | −14.2 |
| Raúl Cáceres | 64 | 16.9 | −23.6 |
São Paulo
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rafael | 90 | 63.5 | +13.0 |
| Lucca | 45 | 62.6 | – |
| Paulo Sérgio | 9 | 61.0 | – |
| Luiz Gustavo | 75 | 60.4 | +14.5 |
| Rafael Tolói | 90 | 52.4 | +4.5 |
| Robert Arboleda | 90 | 48.7 | −3.0 |
| Sabino | 90 | 48.4 | −1.4 |
| Ferreirinha | 45 | 45.1 | −1.7 |
| Luciano | 58 | 44.1 | −6.9 |
| Alisson | 45 | 41.5 | −5.3 |
| Marcos Antônio | 90 | 41.4 | −5.8 |
| Gonzalo Tapia | 90 | 41.3 | −4.1 |
| Pablo Maia | 45 | 39.4 | −5.1 |
| Cédric Soares | 81 | 36.7 | −11.1 |
| Emiliano Rigoni | 32 | 35.8 | – |
| Pedro Ferreira | 15 | 27.6 | – |