FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 17 Oct 2025

Vitória 2–1 Bahia

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.5 – 1.2
Actual xG
2.1 – 1.0
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Vitória favourites at 42%.

Vitória won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nicolás Acevedo, 59.4 in 66′.

Well above their usual level: Tiago Souza +13.7, Renato Kayzer +12.5, David Duarte +12.4.

Well below it: Aitor Cantalapiedra −17.5, Mateo Sanabria −16.8, Ronald −14.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Vitória

5 Oct 2025L 3–4at Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A
2 Oct 2025W 1–0v Ceará Brasileirão Série A
28 Sep 2025L 1–3at Grêmio Brasileirão Série A
20 Sep 2025L 0–1v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
13 Sep 2025L 0–2at Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A

Bahia

5 Oct 2025W 1–0v Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
2 Oct 2025L 1–2at Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
28 Sep 2025W 1–0v Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
24 Sep 2025L 1–3at Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A
20 Sep 2025D 1–1at Ceará Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Vitória

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Renato Kayzer Forward72100.8357.4+12.5
Matheuzinho Midfielder3000–56.8–
Lucas Arcanjo Goalkeeper9000–53.4+11.9
Zé Marcos Defender9000–45.8−0.8
Raúl Cáceres Defender90100.3644.5−0.9
Renzo López Forward1800–43.5–
Dudu Midfielder52000.9243.2–
Ramon Defender9000–42.7−1.6
Edu Defender9000–38.3−7.9
Gabriel Baralhas Midfielder9000–37.5−10.6
Ronald Midfielder4500–37.0−14.6
Osvaldo Forward1400–35.9–
Erick Midfielder8500–35.3−13.7
Camutanga Defender90000.0134.6−14.4
Aitor Cantalapiedra Midfielder6000–32.6−17.5

Bahia

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Michel Araújo Midfielder1600–83.9–
Iago Borduchi Defender24000.2269.4–
Nicolás Acevedo Midfielder66010.0259.4+8.5
Gabriel Xavier Defender9000–59.3+8.1
David Duarte Defender90000.0659.1+12.4
Cauly Midfielder16000.1458.6–
Tiago Souza Forward90100.3856.8+13.7
Rezende Midfielder7400–52.5+3.7
Santiago Arias Defender9000–50.8+2.7
Rodrigo Nestor Midfielder74000.0449.5–
Jean Lucas Midfielder90000.0448.0−2.0
Ademir Forward81000.0744.5−6.6
Ronaldo Goalkeeper9000–43.2−8.5
Kayky Forward2400–40.3–
Ruan Pablo Midfielder900–39.3–
Mateo Sanabria Forward6600–36.9−16.8