Vasco da Gama 0–1 Bahia
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 1.2
- Actual xG
- 1.7 – 0.4
- Goals
- 0 – 1
Footybot made Vasco da Gama favourites at 41%.
Bahia won although Vasco da Gama made the better chances (1.7 xG to 0.4): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nuno Moreira, 68.3 in 64′.
Well above their usual level: Nuno Moreira +19.0, Ronaldo +18.3, Carlos Cuesta +10.4.
Well below it: Philippe Coutinho −14.6, Willian José −11.0, Ademir −10.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Vasco da Gama
| 5 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | v Chapecoense |
| 29 Jan 2026 | L 1–2 | at Mirassol |
| 21 Dec 2025 | L 1–2 | v Corinthians |
| 18 Dec 2025 | D 0–0 | at Corinthians |
| 14 Dec 2025 | L 0–1 | at Fluminense |
Bahia
| 5 Feb 2026 | D 1–1 | v Fluminense |
| 28 Jan 2026 | W 2–1 | at Corinthians |
| 7 Dec 2025 | L 0–2 | at Fluminense |
| 3 Dec 2025 | W 2–0 | v Sport Recife |
| 28 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | at Juventude |
Head to head
| 23 Nov 2025 | Bahia 1–0 Vasco da Gama |
| 24 Sep 2025 | Vasco da Gama 3–1 Bahia |
Vasco da Gama
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Henrique | 27 | 100.0 | – |
| Marino Hinestroza | 26 | 78.2 | – |
| Nuno Moreira | 64 | 68.3 | +19.0 |
| Gabriel Souza | 13 | 65.5 | – |
| Andrés Gómez | 90 | 60.4 | +4.4 |
| Carlos Cuesta | 90 | 57.9 | +10.4 |
| Cauan Barros | 90 | 53.4 | +0.9 |
| Thiago Mendes | 77 | 49.7 | −4.3 |
| Brenner | 64 | 49.2 | +2.1 |
| Léo Jardim | 90 | 49.1 | −0.6 |
| Johan Rojas | 19 | 48.4 | – |
| Puma Rodríguez | 90 | 46.7 | −3.2 |
| Claudio Spinelli | 26 | 45.5 | – |
| Robert Renan | 90 | 44.9 | −8.0 |
| Lucas Piton | 63 | 44.7 | −4.3 |
| Philippe Coutinho | 83 | 39.2 | −14.6 |
Bahia
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erick | 18 | 75.6 | – |
| Ronaldo | 90 | 67.0 | +18.3 |
| Everton Ribeiro | 90 | 57.8 | +1.6 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 32 | 57.5 | – |
| Luciano Juba | 90 | 56.2 | +1.2 |
| Román Gómez | 90 | 56.0 | −0.3 |
| Erick Pulga | 32 | 53.6 | – |
| Kanu | 58 | 51.2 | +4.7 |
| Everaldo | 32 | 46.5 | – |
| Cristian Olivera | 90 | 43.4 | +0.3 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | 83 | 43.1 | −7.9 |
| Willian José | 58 | 42.9 | −11.0 |
| Ademir | 58 | 42.1 | −10.4 |
| Jean Lucas | 72 | 41.9 | −8.5 |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | 90 | 41.4 | −10.0 |
| Caio Alexandre | 19 | 35.5 | – |