FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Copa do Brasil 2025, Semifinals · 14 Dec 2025

Fluminense 1–0 Vasco da Gama

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.8 – 0.7
Actual xG
0.9 – 0.6
Goals
1 – 0

Footybot made Fluminense favourites at 63%.

Fluminense won a close one on the chances: 0.9 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Fábio, 66.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Thiago Silva +14.2, Fábio +12.0, Robert Renan +10.6.

Well below it: Agustín Canobbio −26.3, Luciano Acosta −16.4, Nonato −12.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Fluminense

11 Dec 2025L 1–2at Vasco da Gama Copa do Brasil
7 Dec 2025W 2–0v Bahia Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025W 2–1at Grêmio Brasileirão Série A
27 Nov 2025W 6–0v São Paulo Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025D 0–0at Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A

Vasco da Gama

11 Dec 2025W 2–1v Fluminense Copa do Brasil
7 Dec 2025L 0–5at Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A
2 Dec 2025L 0–2v Mirassol Brasileirão Série A
28 Nov 2025W 5–1v Internacional Brasileirão Série A
23 Nov 2025L 0–1at Bahia Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

11 Dec 2025Vasco da Gama 2–1 Fluminense Copa do Brasil
20 Oct 2025Vasco da Gama 2–0 Fluminense Brasileirão Série A

Fluminense

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Fábio Goalkeeper9000–66.0+12.0
Thiago Silva Defender9000–63.7+14.2
Otávio Midfielder100–57.0–
Juan Pablo Freytes Defender9000–56.2+8.4
Guga Defender2600–52.6–
Facundo Bernal Midfielder45000.0650.5+3.6
Ganso Midfielder3000–49.2–
John Kennedy Forward30000.3447.7–
Matheus Martinelli Midfielder8900–44.4−5.7
Renê Defender9000–43.1−9.7
Kevin Serna Midfielder90000.0643.0−9.6
Everaldo Forward60000.2542.0−5.7
Nonato Midfielder4500–38.2−12.6
Samuel Xavier Defender6400–35.9−7.6
Luciano Acosta Midfielder60000.1832.1−16.4
Agustín Canobbio Midfielder90000.0231.7−26.3

Vasco da Gama

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Victor Luis Defender100–100.0–
Hugo Moura Midfielder1000–67.3–
Robert Renan Defender9000–61.6+10.6
Pablo Vegetti Forward1700–58.8–
Philippe Coutinho Midfielder90000.0758.4+4.9
Cauan Barros Midfielder90000.0356.4+3.6
Nuno Moreira Midfielder73000.1855.2+6.7
Puma Rodríguez Defender90000.1453.4+3.8
Thiago Mendes Midfielder8000–52.8−0.8
Andrés Gómez Midfielder89000.0652.3−2.0
Paulo Henrique Defender8900–52.1−1.8
Léo Jardim Goalkeeper9000–51.7+1.1
Carlos Cuesta Defender9000–50.9+4.4
Rayan Midfielder90000.1645.5−7.7
Matheus França Forward100–21.7–