Grêmio 1–2 Fluminense
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 0.7 – 0.9
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 40%.
Fluminense won a close one on the chances: 0.9 xG to 0.7.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Yeferson Soteldo, 65.0 in 69′.
Well above their usual level: Dodi +9.7, Fábio +9.4, Yeferson Soteldo +9.0.
Well below it: Tiago Volpi −17.2, Cristian Pavón −16.0, Kevin Serna −13.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Grêmio
| 26 Nov 2025 | W 3–2 | v Palmeiras |
| 22 Nov 2025 | L 2–3 | at Botafogo |
| 20 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | v Vasco da Gama |
| 9 Nov 2025 | D 2–2 | at Fortaleza |
| 5 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | v Cruzeiro |
Fluminense
| 27 Nov 2025 | W 6–0 | v São Paulo |
| 23 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Palmeiras |
| 20 Nov 2025 | W 2–1 | v Flamengo |
| 9 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Cruzeiro |
| 6 Nov 2025 | W 1–0 | v Mirassol |
Head to head
| 3 Aug 2025 | Fluminense 1–0 Grêmio |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Edenilson | 15 | 100.0 | – |
| Jardiel | 15 | 73.1 | – |
| Willian | 68 | 58.7 | −5.8 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 34 | 55.8 | – |
| André Henrique | 75 | 55.0 | −0.2 |
| Arthur | 90 | 53.9 | +5.0 |
| Dodi | 68 | 53.6 | +9.7 |
| Gustavo Cuéllar | 22 | 51.8 | – |
| Wagner Leonardo | 90 | 49.7 | −0.2 |
| Alysson | 56 | 46.8 | +0.9 |
| Gustavo Martins | 90 | 44.0 | −4.9 |
| Marlon | 90 | 42.6 | −9.2 |
| Alexander Aravena | 22 | 40.7 | – |
| Marcos Rocha | 90 | 34.0 | −12.4 |
| Cristian Pavón | 75 | 33.9 | −16.0 |
| Tiago Volpi | 90 | 33.6 | −17.2 |
Fluminense
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Santos | 1 | 100.0 | – |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 69 | 65.0 | +9.0 |
| Fábio | 90 | 60.5 | +9.4 |
| Hércules | 14 | 59.5 | – |
| Ignácio | 90 | 50.3 | −0.8 |
| Renê | 90 | 48.6 | −1.3 |
| Matheus Martinelli | 90 | 46.6 | −2.6 |
| Samuel Xavier | 89 | 45.2 | +0.7 |
| Everaldo | 90 | 44.8 | −3.6 |
| Ganso | 21 | 44.4 | – |
| Luciano Acosta | 69 | 42.7 | −5.5 |
| Nonato | 76 | 42.5 | −9.3 |
| Juan Pablo Freytes | 90 | 36.7 | −7.4 |
| Kevin Serna | 76 | 35.7 | −13.0 |
| Lima | 14 | 30.4 | – |
| Keno | 21 | 29.0 | – |