Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 9 Nov 2025

Fortaleza 2–2 Grêmio

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Fortaleza favourites at 60%.

Grêmio deserved more from the draw, creating 2.1 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Carlos Vinícius, 63.4 in 61′.

Well above their usual level: Carlos Vinícius +11.5, Marlon +9.9, Pierre +8.5.

Well below it: Lucas Crispim −18.7, Gastón Ávila −9.4, Bruno Pacheco −8.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

6 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Ceará Brasileirão Série A
1 Nov 2025	D 1–1	at Santos Brasileirão Série A
25 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
19 Oct 2025	L 0–1	at Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
16 Oct 2025	L 0–2	v Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A

5 Nov 2025	L 0–1	v Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
2 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
26 Oct 2025	W 3–1	v Juventude Brasileirão Série A
19 Oct 2025	L 0–4	at Bahia Brasileirão Série A
16 Oct 2025	W 2–0	v São Paulo Brasileirão Série A

29 Jul 2025	Grêmio 2–1 Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Pierre Midfielder	82	0	0	0.03	53.0	+8.5
Matheus Pereira Midfielder	55	1	0	0.08	51.9	+6.5
Adam Bareiro Forward	90	1	0	0.13	51.3	−1.2
Deyverson Forward	12	0	0	–	49.5	–
Emanuel Brítez Defender	90	0	0	0.36	48.5	+1.8
Matheus Rossetto Midfielder	8	0	0	–	47.4	–
Brenno Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.0	−4.0
Breno Lopes Midfielder	89	0	0	0.12	46.6	−4.4
José Herrera Midfielder	45	0	0	0.23	45.0	−6.2
Tomás Pochettino Midfielder	45	0	1	0.04	42.9	−3.3
Lucas Sasha Midfielder	45	0	0	–	42.3	−7.2
Lucas Crispim Midfielder	45	0	0	0.10	39.6	−18.7
Eros Mancuso Defender	90	0	0	0.05	39.0	−6.1
Moisés Forward	45	0	0	0.13	38.8	–
Bruno Pacheco Defender	90	0	0	–	37.9	−8.9
Gastón Ávila Defender	90	0	0	0.02	34.9	−9.4

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Franco Cristaldo Midfielder	29	0	0	0.08	87.3	–
Gustavo Martins Defender	11	0	0	0.28	83.9	–
Alexander Aravena Forward	11	0	0	0.46	68.8	–
Carlos Vinícius Forward	61	1	1	0.34	63.4	+11.5
Marlon Defender	90	1	0	0.43	61.2	+9.9
Tiago Volpi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.4	+5.1
Walter Kannemann Defender	90	0	0	–	52.4	+7.1
Arthur Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	50.2	+1.4
Gustavo Cuéllar Midfielder	68	0	0	0.01	47.7	−1.3
Erick Noriega Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	47.0	+1.6
Dodi Midfielder	22	0	0	–	45.9	–
Edenilson Midfielder	79	0	0	0.21	45.3	−0.7
Alysson Midfielder	61	0	0	0.09	40.1	−5.2
Francis Amuzu Midfielder	79	0	0	0.07	39.9	−7.1
João Lucas Defender	90	0	0	–	39.4	−3.6
André Henrique Forward	29	0	0	0.03	38.1	–