FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 25 Oct 2025

Fortaleza 1–0 Flamengo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.2 – 1.4
Actual xG
0.9 – 1.2
Goals
1 – 0

Footybot made Flamengo favourites at 42%.

Fortaleza won a close one on the chances: 0.9 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Emerson Royal, 76.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Emerson Royal +24.5, Brenno +16.1, Danilo +10.2.

Well below it: Giorgian de Arrascaeta −20.6, Bruno Pacheco −15.0, Agustín Rossi −14.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Fortaleza

19 Oct 2025L 0–1at Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
16 Oct 2025L 0–2v Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A
5 Oct 2025W 2–1at Juventude Brasileirão Série A
2 Oct 2025L 0–2v São Paulo Brasileirão Série A
27 Sep 2025W 1–0v Sport Recife Brasileirão Série A

Flamengo

19 Oct 2025W 3–2v Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
15 Oct 2025W 3–0at Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
5 Oct 2025L 0–1at Bahia Brasileirão Série A
2 Oct 2025D 0–0v Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
28 Sep 2025W 2–1at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Fortaleza

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Brenno Goalkeeper9000–62.7+16.1
Adam Bareiro Forward62000.6954.2+5.7
Breno Lopes Midfielder78100.1053.3+5.4
Kayke Forward1200–48.7–
José Herrera Midfielder71010.0248.6−1.9
Rodrigo Santos Midfielder1900–46.9–
Lucas Sasha Midfielder9000–45.1−6.0
Emanuel Brítez Defender9000–43.4−2.5
Tomás Pochettino Midfielder7800–42.2−6.2
Matheus Rossetto Midfielder1200–42.0–
Moisés Forward2800–40.6–
Pierre Midfielder71000.0340.3–
Gastón Ávila Defender90000.0440.3−4.3
Yago Pikachu Midfielder1900–36.9–
Eros Mancuso Defender9000–35.9−10.6
Bruno Pacheco Defender9000–35.3−15.0

Flamengo

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Juninho Forward3000.14100.0–
Emerson Royal Defender90000.1876.8+24.5
Ayrton Lucas Defender9000–63.0+8.4
Wallace Yan Forward25000.1962.9–
Léo Pereira Defender9000–61.1+8.8
Saúl Ñíguez Midfielder90000.1059.5+7.5
Danilo Defender90000.0857.2+10.2
Jorginho Midfielder87000.0252.4−0.0
Luiz Araújo Midfielder36000.0946.5–
Giorgian de Arrascaeta Midfielder90000.2643.1−20.6
Samuel Lino Midfielder65000.1242.0−5.1
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper9000–40.9−14.5
Gonzalo Plata Midfielder6500–38.8−11.9
Bruno Henrique Forward5400–38.4−6.5
Michael Midfielder2500–37.6–