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Flamengo
Ayrton Lucas

Ayrton Lucas

Defender · Flamengo · 29 · Brazil

498 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
48.4
Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 18 matches
Last 5 weeks
50.2
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€4.0M
−€1.0M (−20%) since 10 Dec 2025
Transfermarkt, 26 May 2026

Photo: Анна Нэсси, CC BY-SA 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
19 Jun 1997
Height
180 cm
Foot
L
Contract until
31 Dec 2027
Wikipedia views
533 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

28 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 52.3 (minutes-weighted); 2 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
20–26 Oct 20261847.350.348.8
15–21 Sep 202629538.051.238.1
8–14 Sep 2026216058.950.760.0
1–7 Sep 2026218556.349.556.4
25–31 Aug 202619046.749.747.0
18–24 Aug 2026216643.850.244.0
11–17 Aug 2026215958.349.858.5
4–10 Aug 202619050.049.550.0
21–27 Jul 202616843.949.844.4
26 May – 1 Jun 2026218045.950.346.2
19–25 May 202619052.350.352.2
12–18 May 202611100.050.2100.0
5–11 May 202616550.250.250.4
21–27 Apr 202627941.250.841.3
14–20 Apr 202619051.450.851.6
7–13 Apr 202619039.351.739.4
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026216541.152.841.3
17–23 Mar 202626939.554.339.6
10–16 Mar 202612553.054.753.0
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202519055.454.856.9
18–24 Nov 202519086.452.686.7
11–17 Nov 202519057.152.450.1
4–10 Nov 2025210846.653.547.2
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202519058.952.958.9
21–27 Oct 2025212562.252.062.5
30 Sep – 6 Oct 202519045.052.744.9
16–22 Sep 2025214750.653.350.6
9–15 Sep 202519053.553.353.5
26 Aug – 1 Sep 202519055.953.256.0
19–25 Aug 2025116.153.45.9
12–18 Aug 202519080.551.483.2
5–11 Aug 202519055.151.155.0
29 Jul – 4 Aug 202513240.951.440.8
8–14 Jul 202514460.051.260.2

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (+0.3 a week).

20.040.060.080.0100.05 Aug16 Sep4 Nov17 Mar21 Apr21 Jul25 AugExpected 51.2Score 38.0
498

On the breakout watchlist

A 17% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 50.8 over 2,343 minutes in the last year, down 0.2 over the last 10 weeks. Wikipedia views 2.5× below similar performers. Valued €4.0M against €4.9M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €4.0M −€1.0M (−20%) since 10 Dec 2025 26 May 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €3.7M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €2.7M–€4.3M −15% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age −25% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Lucas Evangelista at 29 (€4.0M, scoring 51.5) +0%; Kaan Ayhan at 29 (€4.5M, scoring 51.1) +2%; William Furtado at 29 (€4.0M, scoring 49.2) +13%.
0€2.5M€5.0M€7.5M€10M20162017201820192020202120222023202420252026€4.0M€3.7M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€3.7M
26 May 2026Transfermarkt€4.0M
12 Mar 2026Transfermarkt€4.0M
10 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€5.0M
5 Sep 2025Transfermarkt€6.0M
6 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€7.0M
9 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€8.0M
17 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€8.0M
28 Mar 2024Transfermarkt€8.0M
11 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€8.0M
25 Jul 2023Transfermarkt€9.0M
7 Apr 2023Transfermarkt€7.0M
14 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€6.0M
19 Aug 2022Transfermarkt€5.0M
29 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€4.5M
15 Sep 2021Transfermarkt€5.0M
2 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€6.0M
29 Dec 2020Transfermarkt€6.0M
19 Oct 2020Transfermarkt€5.0M
29 Jul 2020Transfermarkt€4.0M
8 Apr 2020Transfermarkt€4.0M
23 Dec 2019Transfermarkt€5.0M
14 Jun 2019Transfermarkt€5.0M
12 Feb 2019Transfermarkt€5.0M
23 May 2018Transfermarkt€1.5M
30 Oct 2017Transfermarkt€500k
27 May 2016Transfermarkt€250k
15 Dec 2015Transfermarkt€250k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
1 Jan 2023Spartak Moscow Flamengo€7.0M
31 Dec 2022Flamengo Spartak MoscowFree or loan
1 Apr 2022Spartak Moscow FlamengoFree or loan

What the score is made of

Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 1,094 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 546 top-five-league defender seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shooting60Creating94Progressing85Keeping the ball46Defending3Aerial34Finishing11
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shooting60+0.00
Creating94+0.85
Progressing85+0.46
Keeping the ball46−0.02
Defending3−0.38
Aerial34−0.29
Finishing11−0.22

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

02505007501.0K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Reece James Chelsea · 2650.4€60.0M97%Compare
Trent Alexander-Arnold Real Madrid · 2853.5€60.0M96%Compare
Matheuzinho Corinthians · 2651.6€10.0M96%Compare
David Raum RB Leipzig · 2855.7€25.0M94%Compare
Guga Fluminense · 28 · cheaper50.0€2.0M93%Compare
Adrià Pedrosa Rayo Vallecano · 2846.6€2.8M93%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Ayrton Lucas.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Brasileiro Serie A 2026Brasileirão Série AFlamengo181,09448.448.7
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026Copa LibertadoresFlamengo971049.049.2
Copa do Brasil 2026Copa do BrasilFlamengo17140.740.8
Brasileiro Serie A 2025Brasileirão Série AFlamengo181,23159.158.7
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2025Copa LibertadoresFlamengo736949.149.2
Copa do Brasil 2025Copa do BrasilFlamengo430256.256.3
Brasileirão Betano 2024Brasileirão Série AFlamengo181,22948.948.4

Latest matches

46 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
23 Oct 2026Copa LibertadoresEstudiantes de La PlataD 0–08000.020.0147.3
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ARed Bull BragantinoW 2–1500–0.0022.2
18 Sep 2026Copa LibertadoresIndependiente del ValleD 1–190000.020.0338.9
13 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ACorinthiansW 2–174000.270.0354.8
11 Sep 2026Copa Libertadoresat Independiente del ValleW 2–08600–0.0062.4
6 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat RemoW 1–095000.020.7463.6
2 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série AMirassolW 2–09000–0.0648.6
30 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série ABotafogoW 3–090000.060.0446.7
22 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CruzeiroL 1–290000.040.0746.7
20 Aug 2026Copa LibertadoresCruzeiroW 2–176000.040.0140.3
All 46 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
23 Oct 2026Copa LibertadoresEstudiantes de La PlataD 0–08000.020.0147.3
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ARed Bull BragantinoW 2–1500–0.0022.2
18 Sep 2026Copa LibertadoresIndependiente del ValleD 1–190000.020.0338.9
13 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ACorinthiansW 2–174000.270.0354.8
11 Sep 2026Copa Libertadoresat Independiente del ValleW 2–08600–0.0062.4
6 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat RemoW 1–095000.020.7463.6
2 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série AMirassolW 2–09000–0.0648.6
30 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série ABotafogoW 3–090000.060.0446.7
22 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CruzeiroL 1–290000.040.0746.7
20 Aug 2026Copa LibertadoresCruzeiroW 2–176000.040.0140.3
16 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat MirassolW 5–169010.020.6958.9
13 Aug 2026Copa Libertadoresat CruzeiroD 1–190000.020.0957.9
9 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série AVitóriaW 2–090000.010.2350.0
23 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série Aat ChapecoenseW 4–068000.060.0143.9
30 May 2026Brasileirão Série ACoritibaW 3–090010.020.1642.7
27 May 2026Copa LibertadoresCusco FCW 3–090000.070.7149.2
21 May 2026Copa LibertadoresEstudiantes de La PlataW 1–09000–0.0152.3
17 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat AthleticoD 1–1100––100.0
10 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat GrêmioW 1–065000.020.0150.2
26 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Atlético MineiroW 4–0800–0.0045.3
23 Apr 2026Copa do BrasilVitóriaW 2–171000.02–40.7
17 Apr 2026Copa LibertadoresIndependiente MedellínW 4–190010.030.0851.4
9 Apr 2026Copa Libertadoresat Cusco FCW 2–090010.020.0939.3
5 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série ASantosW 3–190000.010.0344.0
3 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Red Bull BragantinoL 0–375000.050.0137.7
22 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CorinthiansD 1–145000.020.0036.2
19 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série ARemoW 3–02400–0.0045.7
14 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série Aat BotafogoW 3–02500–0.0253.0
26 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat Atlético MineiroD 1–190000.190.0855.4
20 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat FluminenseL 1–290000.020.1286.4
15 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat Sport RecifeW 5–190100.120.1157.1
9 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série ASantosW 3–288000.010.0438.3
6 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat São PauloD 2–220000.090.0083.2
2 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série ASport RecifeW 3–09000–0.2258.9
25 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat FortalezaL 0–19000–0.3466.5
23 Oct 2025Copa LibertadoresRacing ClubW 1–035000.060.0151.1
5 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat BahiaL 0–19000–0.0145.0
21 Sep 2025Brasileirão Série AVasco da GamaD 1–15700–0.0140.2
19 Sep 2025Copa LibertadoresEstudiantes de La PlataW 2–190010.020.0757.2
14 Sep 2025Brasileirão Série Aat JuventudeW 2–09000–0.0353.5
31 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série AGrêmioD 1–190000.010.1955.9
21 Aug 2025Copa Libertadoresat InternacionalW 2–0100–0.006.1
17 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série Aat InternacionalW 3–190000.330.0280.5
6 Aug 2025Copa do Brasilat Atlético MineiroW 1–09000–0.0355.1
1 Aug 2025Copa do BrasilAtlético MineiroL 0–13200–0.0240.9
12 Jul 2025Brasileirão Série ASão PauloW 2–044000.020.0760.0