Matchday

Copa do Brasil 2025, Round of 16 · 1 Aug 2025

Flamengo 0–1 Atlético Mineiro

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 18% · Standout: Samuel Lino scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jul 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.6 – 0.8
Actual xG
1.2 – 0.9
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Flamengo favourites at 56%.

Atlético Mineiro won a close one on the chances: 0.9 xG to 1.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Lyanco, 67.1 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Gustavo Scarpa +22.1, Lyanco +20.0, Gabriel Menino +15.9.

Well below it: Luiz Araújo −16.8, Léo Pereira −13.5, Gonzalo Plata −10.9.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Flamengo

27 Jul 2025W 1–0v Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A
24 Jul 2025W 2–1at Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A
20 Jul 2025W 1–0v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
16 Jul 2025L 0–1at Santos Brasileirão Série A
12 Jul 2025W 2–0v São Paulo Brasileirão Série A

Atlético Mineiro

27 Jul 2025L 0–1at Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
25 Jul 2025L 0–1v Atlético Bucaramanga Copa Sudamericana
20 Jul 2025L 2–3at Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
18 Jul 2025W 1–0at Atlético Bucaramanga Copa Sudamericana
13 Jul 2025L 1–2at Bahia Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

27 Jul 2025Flamengo 1–0 Atlético Mineiro Brasileirão Série A

Flamengo

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Samuel Lino Midfielder32000.14100.0–
Emerson Royal Defender18000.3069.2–
Saúl Ñíguez Midfielder11000.0356.6–
Wallace Yan Forward32000.0656.3–
Matheus Gonçalves Midfielder5800–53.7–
Evertton Araujo Midfielder90000.0451.1–
Matías Viña Defender58000.0248.6–
Pedro Guilherme Forward90000.2648.4–
Léo Ortiz Defender90000.0248.3−5.4
Guillermo Varela Defender7200–45.7+3.7
Allan Midfielder90000.0345.6−5.5
Agustín Rossi Goalkeeper9000–45.3−7.4
Luiz Araújo Midfielder58000.0843.6−16.8
Ayrton Lucas Defender3200–40.9–
Gonzalo Plata Midfielder79000.1740.3−10.9
Léo Pereira Defender90000.0134.9−13.5

Atlético Mineiro

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Igor Rabello Defender1000–95.6–
Lyanco Defender9000–67.1+20.0
Hulk Forward77000.3765.5+8.0
Gustavo Scarpa Midfielder90000.0464.9+22.1
Igor Gomes Midfielder77000.0363.5–
Fausto Vera Midfielder1300–59.0–
Júnior Santos Forward1300–58.9–
Tomás Cuello Midfielder90100.3958.1+0.8
Gabriel Menino Midfielder90000.0757.7+15.9
Everson Goalkeeper9000–56.6+3.1
Junior Alonso Defender9000–55.7+8.5
Renzo Saravia Defender8000–54.6–
Alexsander Midfielder2200–49.1–
Alan Franco Midfielder9000–45.2+0.4
Rony Forward6800–41.8−3.7