CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2025, Playoff round · 25 Jul 2025

Atlético Mineiro 0–1 Atlético Bucaramanga

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 7% · Standout: Gabriel Menino scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jun 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Atlético Mineiro favourites at 79%.

Atlético Bucaramanga won although Atlético Mineiro made the better chances (1.6 xG to 0.2): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Aldair Gutiérrez, 62.0 in 45′.

Well below it: Hulk −18.7, Lyanco −14.4, Natanael −13.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Jul 2025	L 2–3	at Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
18 Jul 2025	W 1–0	at Atlético Bucaramanga Copa Sudamericana
13 Jul 2025	L 1–2	at Bahia Brasileirão Série A

18 Jul 2025	L 0–1	v Atlético Mineiro Copa Sudamericana

18 Jul 2025	Atlético Bucaramanga 0–1 Atlético Mineiro Copa Sudamericana

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Gabriel Menino Midfielder	1	–	100.0	–
Caio Paulista Defender	85	–	45.0	–
Gustavo Scarpa Midfielder	90	0.18	44.7	+3.7
Everson Goalkeeper	90	–	43.6	–
Rony Forward	61	0.11	43.3	–
Tomás Cuello Midfielder	45	0.02	42.3	–
Hulk Forward	90	0.33	42.1	−18.7
Fausto Vera Midfielder	90	–	41.7	–
Junior Alonso Defender	90	0.12	40.4	−10.4
Júnior Santos Forward	29	0.09	37.1	–
Lyanco Defender	90	–	36.7	−14.4
Igor Gomes Midfielder	45	–	36.5	–
Dudu Forward	61	0.68	34.2	–
Bernard Midfielder	29	–	31.8	–
Natanael Defender	89	0.08	30.6	−13.4
João Marcelo Forward	11	–	29.1	–

Player	Min	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Carlos Romaña Defender	15	0	–	64.5	–
Aldair Gutiérrez Defender	45	0	–	62.0	–
Aldair Quintana Goalkeeper	90	0	–	60.2	–
Fabián Sambueza Midfielder	64	1	–	52.9	–
Luciano Pons Forward	90	0	0.04	48.9	–
Aldair Zárate Midfielder	90	0	0.02	47.2	–
Fabry Castro Midfielder	90	0	–	45.3	–
Kevin Londoño Midfielder	75	0	0.09	43.6	–
José García Defender	14	0	–	43.4	–
Freddy Hinestroza Defender	76	0	0.01	40.6	–