Ceará 1–1 Fortaleza
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.5 – 0.9
- Actual xG
- 0.7 – 0.5
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Ceará favourites at 53%.
A draw the chances agree with: 0.7 xG to 0.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Breno Lopes, 61.9 in 69′.
Well above their usual level: Breno Lopes +11.5, Vinicius Zanocelo +8.0.
Well below it: Pedro Henrique −15.0, Vina −9.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Ceará
| 2 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | v Fluminense |
| 29 Oct 2025 | L 0–1 | at Fluminense |
| 25 Oct 2025 | L 0–1 | at Atlético Mineiro |
| 19 Oct 2025 | L 0–2 | v Botafogo |
| 15 Oct 2025 | D 1–1 | at Sport Recife |
Fortaleza
| 1 Nov 2025 | D 1–1 | at Santos |
| 25 Oct 2025 | W 1–0 | v Flamengo |
| 19 Oct 2025 | L 0–1 | at Cruzeiro |
| 16 Oct 2025 | L 0–2 | v Vasco da Gama |
| 5 Oct 2025 | W 2–1 | at Juventude |
Head to head
| 13 Jul 2025 | Fortaleza 0–1 Ceará |
Ceará
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius Zanocelo | 62 | 54.5 | +8.0 |
| Dieguinho | 60 | 52.1 | +1.2 |
| Willian Machado | 90 | 50.7 | +3.5 |
| Bruno Ferreira | 90 | 49.2 | −3.5 |
| Pedro Raul | 90 | 48.6 | +1.6 |
| Vina | 81 | 47.0 | −9.0 |
| Lucas Mugni | 28 | 45.9 | – |
| Antonio Galeano | 81 | 45.9 | −4.0 |
| Marcos Victor | 90 | 45.4 | −2.3 |
| Fernando Sobral | 30 | 41.7 | – |
| Matheus Bahia | 90 | 39.2 | −7.0 |
| Fabiano Souza | 90 | 38.6 | −4.9 |
| Lourenço | 9 | 36.8 | – |
| Fernandinho | 28 | 36.4 | – |
| Pedro Henrique | 62 | 32.5 | −15.0 |
| Aylon | 9 | 29.4 | – |
Fortaleza
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Breno Lopes | 69 | 61.9 | +11.5 |
| Matheus Pereira | 21 | 58.9 | – |
| Adam Bareiro | 78 | 57.7 | +6.7 |
| José Herrera | 69 | 57.0 | +6.6 |
| Pablo | 11 | 56.1 | – |
| Yago Pikachu | 21 | 54.3 | – |
| Emanuel Brítez | 90 | 50.9 | +4.6 |
| Brenno | 90 | 49.0 | −2.3 |
| Gastón Ávila | 90 | 48.6 | +5.0 |
| Lucas Crispim | 30 | 46.8 | – |
| Pierre | 79 | 45.6 | +1.6 |
| Moisés | 60 | 45.4 | – |
| Lucas Sasha | 90 | 45.2 | −5.4 |
| Bruno Pacheco | 90 | 43.9 | −3.2 |
| Juan Martín Lucero | 12 | 41.6 | – |
| Eros Mancuso | 90 | 41.2 | −4.2 |