Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 19 Oct 2025

Bahia 4–0 Grêmio

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Bahia favourites at 60%.

Bahia won and made the better chances: 3.0 xG to 0.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Marlon, 69.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Marlon +20.7, David Duarte +8.2.

Well below it: Jean Lucas −16.0, Cristian Pavón −13.9, Francis Amuzu −13.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Oct 2025	L 1–2	at Vitória Brasileirão Série A
5 Oct 2025	W 1–0	v Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
2 Oct 2025	L 1–2	at Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
28 Sep 2025	W 1–0	v Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
24 Sep 2025	L 1–3	at Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A

16 Oct 2025	W 2–0	v São Paulo Brasileirão Série A
4 Oct 2025	L 0–1	at Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A
2 Oct 2025	D 1–1	at Santos Brasileirão Série A
28 Sep 2025	W 3–1	v Vitória Brasileirão Série A
24 Sep 2025	D 1–1	v Botafogo Brasileirão Série A

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Rodrigo Nestor Midfielder	22	1	0	0.34	100.0	–
Kayky Forward	22	0	1	–	64.4	–
Cauly Midfielder	16	0	0	–	60.7	–
Willian José Forward	82	1	1	0.27	57.5	+3.3
David Duarte Defender	90	1	0	0.34	56.1	+8.2
Gilberto Defender	90	0	0	0.03	52.6	+1.6
Ronaldo Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.9	−0.8
Tiago Souza Forward	68	0	0	0.98	50.3	+2.1
Iago Borduchi Defender	90	1	0	0.39	50.0	–
Nicolás Acevedo Midfielder	90	0	0	0.01	49.8	−2.2
Michel Araújo Midfielder	74	0	1	0.44	49.2	−4.8
Ademir Forward	68	0	1	0.05	46.7	−3.5
Santiago Ramos Mingo Defender	90	0	0	0.10	44.0	−5.6
Jean Lucas Midfielder	68	0	0	0.04	33.3	−16.0
Mateo Sanabria Forward	22	0	0	–	30.8	–
Ruan Pablo Midfielder	8	0	0	–	30.6	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Marlon Defender	90	–	69.4	+20.7
Franco Cristaldo Midfielder	27	0.10	64.1	–
Cristian Olivera Forward	27	0.02	52.3	–
Erick Noriega Midfielder	79	0.04	51.4	+5.5
João Lucas Defender	11	–	49.7	–
Camilo Midfielder	72	0.06	46.1	+5.1
Alexander Aravena Forward	45	0.09	44.5	+1.6
Gustavo Martins Defender	90	0.15	43.3	−4.4
Edenilson Midfielder	90	0.12	43.1	−4.1
Carlos Vinícius Forward	90	0.15	42.3	−11.8
Gustavo Cuéllar Midfielder	63	–	40.2	−10.1
Walter Kannemann Defender	90	–	40.0	−5.5
Marcos Rocha Defender	18	–	37.9	–
Cristian Pavón Midfielder	63	–	37.6	−13.9
Francis Amuzu Midfielder	45	0.05	33.7	−13.0