Matchday

Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 22 Nov 2025

Botafogo 3–2 Grêmio

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.2 – 0.8
Actual xG
2.3 – 1.4
Goals
3 – 2

Footybot made Botafogo favourites at 69%.

Botafogo won and made the better chances: 2.3 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Cristian Pavón, 100.0 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Cristian Pavón +51.7, Marcos Rocha +20.5, Gustavo Martins +17.6.

Well below it: Lucas Esteves −12.7, Tiago Volpi −11.3, David Ricardo −11.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Botafogo

18 Nov 2025W 3–2v Sport Recife Brasileirão Série A
9 Nov 2025D 0–0at Vitória Brasileirão Série A
5 Nov 2025W 3–0v Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A
1 Nov 2025D 0–0at Mirassol Brasileirão Série A
26 Oct 2025D 2–2v Santos Brasileirão Série A

Grêmio

20 Nov 2025W 2–0v Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A
9 Nov 2025D 2–2at Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A
5 Nov 2025L 0–1v Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
2 Nov 2025L 0–2at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A
26 Oct 2025W 3–1v Juventude Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

24 Sep 2025Grêmio 1–1 Botafogo Brasileirão Série A

Botafogo

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Marçal Defender12100.11100.0–
Álvaro Montoro Midfielder1200–75.0–
Artur Midfielder78100.2954.9+5.0
Danilo Santos Midfielder2701–47.9–
Léo Linck Goalkeeper9000–47.5+0.9
Cuiabano Defender90101.2247.5+1.5
Alexander Barboza Defender9000–47.3−5.0
Jefferson Savarino Midfielder78000.1745.0−7.5
Joaquín Correa Forward5500–42.8−9.0
Arthur Cabral Forward35000.2741.7–
Vitinho Defender9000–41.6−2.4
Newton Midfielder63000.0239.5−7.9
Jordan Barrera Midfielder35000.0239.2–
Kadir Barría Forward55000.1439.0–
Marlon Freitas Midfielder90000.0438.0−11.0
David Ricardo Defender9001–37.3−11.2

Grêmio

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Cristian Pavón Midfielder4502–100.0+51.7
Carlos Vinícius Forward18100.47100.0–
Viery Defender1800–67.2–
André Henrique Forward72100.7264.8+11.2
Gustavo Martins Defender90000.0464.6+17.6
Marcos Rocha Defender9000–64.1+20.5
Marlon Defender9000–61.0+9.5
Gustavo Cuéllar Midfielder90000.0553.0+4.1
Edenilson Midfielder66000.0551.7+6.0
Alexander Aravena Forward2400–50.5–
Alysson Midfielder4500–49.1+4.3
Erick Noriega Midfielder7200–49.0+4.0
Franco Cristaldo Midfielder4500–48.1−1.9
Lucas Esteves Defender4500–43.9−12.7
Tiago Volpi Goalkeeper9000–42.3−11.3
Dodi Midfielder90000.0241.4−2.5