Botafogo 3–2 Grêmio
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.2 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 2.3 – 1.4
- Goals
- 3 – 2
Footybot made Botafogo favourites at 69%.
Botafogo won and made the better chances: 2.3 xG to 1.4.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Cristian Pavón, 100.0 in 45′.
Well above their usual level: Cristian Pavón +51.7, Marcos Rocha +20.5, Gustavo Martins +17.6.
Well below it: Lucas Esteves −12.7, Tiago Volpi −11.3, David Ricardo −11.2.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Botafogo
| 18 Nov 2025 | W 3–2 | v Sport Recife |
| 9 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Vitória |
| 5 Nov 2025 | W 3–0 | v Vasco da Gama |
| 1 Nov 2025 | D 0–0 | at Mirassol |
| 26 Oct 2025 | D 2–2 | v Santos |
Grêmio
| 20 Nov 2025 | W 2–0 | v Vasco da Gama |
| 9 Nov 2025 | D 2–2 | at Fortaleza |
| 5 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | v Cruzeiro |
| 2 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | at Corinthians |
| 26 Oct 2025 | W 3–1 | v Juventude |
Head to head
| 24 Sep 2025 | Grêmio 1–1 Botafogo |
Botafogo
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marçal | 12 | 100.0 | – |
| Álvaro Montoro | 12 | 75.0 | – |
| Artur | 78 | 54.9 | +5.0 |
| Danilo Santos | 27 | 47.9 | – |
| Léo Linck | 90 | 47.5 | +0.9 |
| Cuiabano | 90 | 47.5 | +1.5 |
| Alexander Barboza | 90 | 47.3 | −5.0 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 78 | 45.0 | −7.5 |
| Joaquín Correa | 55 | 42.8 | −9.0 |
| Arthur Cabral | 35 | 41.7 | – |
| Vitinho | 90 | 41.6 | −2.4 |
| Newton | 63 | 39.5 | −7.9 |
| Jordan Barrera | 35 | 39.2 | – |
| Kadir Barría | 55 | 39.0 | – |
| Marlon Freitas | 90 | 38.0 | −11.0 |
| David Ricardo | 90 | 37.3 | −11.2 |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cristian Pavón | 45 | 100.0 | +51.7 |
| Carlos Vinícius | 18 | 100.0 | – |
| Viery | 18 | 67.2 | – |
| André Henrique | 72 | 64.8 | +11.2 |
| Gustavo Martins | 90 | 64.6 | +17.6 |
| Marcos Rocha | 90 | 64.1 | +20.5 |
| Marlon | 90 | 61.0 | +9.5 |
| Gustavo Cuéllar | 90 | 53.0 | +4.1 |
| Edenilson | 66 | 51.7 | +6.0 |
| Alexander Aravena | 24 | 50.5 | – |
| Alysson | 45 | 49.1 | +4.3 |
| Erick Noriega | 72 | 49.0 | +4.0 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 45 | 48.1 | −1.9 |
| Lucas Esteves | 45 | 43.9 | −12.7 |
| Tiago Volpi | 90 | 42.3 | −11.3 |
| Dodi | 90 | 41.4 | −2.5 |