Grêmio 2–0 Vasco da Gama
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.8 – 1.3
- Actual xG
- 1.7 – 0.3
- Goals
- 2 – 0
Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 48%.
Grêmio won and made the better chances: 1.7 xG to 0.3.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Léo Jardim, 56.6 in 90′.
Well below it: Wagner Leonardo −14.3, Marcos Rocha −13.6, Puma Rodríguez −10.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Grêmio
| 9 Nov 2025 | D 2–2 | at Fortaleza |
| 5 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | v Cruzeiro |
| 2 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | at Corinthians |
| 26 Oct 2025 | W 3–1 | v Juventude |
| 19 Oct 2025 | L 0–4 | at Bahia |
Vasco da Gama
| 8 Nov 2025 | L 1–3 | v Juventude |
| 5 Nov 2025 | L 0–3 | at Botafogo |
| 2 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | v São Paulo |
| 26 Oct 2025 | W 3–0 | at Red Bull Bragantino |
| 20 Oct 2025 | W 2–0 | v Fluminense |
Head to head
| 19 Jul 2025 | Vasco da Gama 1–1 Grêmio |
Grêmio
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tiago Volpi | 90 | 53.3 | +0.2 |
| Marlon | 90 | 50.5 | −0.7 |
| Franco Cristaldo | 73 | 49.7 | −0.4 |
| Cristian Pavón | 73 | 49.5 | −0.5 |
| Francis Amuzu | 89 | 48.8 | +2.8 |
| João Lucas | 23 | 48.2 | – |
| Gustavo Martins | 90 | 46.9 | −0.2 |
| Carlos Vinícius | 81 | 46.7 | −6.1 |
| Arthur | 81 | 46.4 | −2.6 |
| Dodi | 90 | 46.0 | +2.2 |
| Camilo | 9 | 45.7 | – |
| Alysson | 17 | 45.3 | – |
| Gustavo Cuéllar | 17 | 45.3 | – |
| André Henrique | 9 | 38.6 | – |
| Wagner Leonardo | 90 | 35.0 | −14.3 |
| Marcos Rocha | 67 | 31.3 | −13.6 |
| Lucas Esteves | 1 | 0.0 | – |
Vasco da Gama
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Mendes | 21 | 64.0 | – |
| Léo Jardim | 90 | 56.6 | +5.9 |
| Rayan | 90 | 49.1 | −1.8 |
| Hugo Moura | 90 | 49.1 | −0.7 |
| Robert Renan | 90 | 48.7 | +1.3 |
| Cauan Barros | 69 | 48.1 | −5.9 |
| Tchê Tchê | 90 | 46.7 | −0.9 |
| Victor Luis | 44 | 45.4 | – |
| Philippe Coutinho | 87 | 43.9 | −9.6 |
| Nuno Moreira | 69 | 42.8 | −8.0 |
| Pablo Vegetti | 80 | 40.2 | −7.9 |
| Gabriel Souza | 10 | 39.9 | – |
| Lucas Piton | 45 | 39.3 | −7.0 |
| Puma Rodríguez | 90 | 37.2 | −10.5 |
| David | 21 | 36.7 | – |
| Matheus França | 10 | 35.6 | – |
| Leandrinho | 1 | 0.0 | – |