Brasileiro Serie A 2025 · 26 Nov 2025

Grêmio 3–2 Palmeiras

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Palmeiras favourites at 45%.

Grêmio won and made the better chances: 2.8 xG to 2.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Willian, 72.0 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Wagner Leonardo +11.9, Carlos Vinícius +8.5.

Well below it: Marlon −13.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

22 Nov 2025	L 2–3	at Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
20 Nov 2025	W 2–0	v Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A
9 Nov 2025	D 2–2	at Fortaleza Brasileirão Série A
5 Nov 2025	L 0–1	v Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
2 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at Corinthians Brasileirão Série A

23 Nov 2025	D 0–0	v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
19 Nov 2025	D 0–0	v Vitória Brasileirão Série A
16 Nov 2025	L 0–1	at Santos Brasileirão Série A
9 Nov 2025	L 1–2	at Mirassol Brasileirão Série A
7 Nov 2025	W 2–0	v Santos Brasileirão Série A

27 Jul 2025	Palmeiras 1–0 Grêmio Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Willian Midfielder	45	1	0	0.79	72.0	–
Carlos Vinícius Forward	90	1	0	0.97	61.2	+8.5
Wagner Leonardo Defender	90	0	1	0.01	59.8	+11.9
Arthur Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	52.0	+3.7
Francis Amuzu Midfielder	77	1	0	0.26	50.5	+4.2
Edenilson Midfielder	45	0	0	0.40	50.3	+4.0
Marcos Rocha Defender	88	0	0	0.05	49.8	+3.8
Gustavo Cuéllar Midfielder	13	0	0	–	49.5	–
Franco Cristaldo Midfielder	13	0	0	–	47.9	–
Tiago Volpi Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.9	−3.9
Walter Kannemann Defender	90	0	0	–	45.5	−0.2
Dodi Midfielder	77	0	0	0.02	45.2	+1.4
Cristian Pavón Midfielder	45	0	0	0.03	44.8	−5.6
Alysson Midfielder	45	0	0	0.22	42.5	−2.9
Marlon Defender	90	0	0	0.03	37.6	−13.8
João Lucas Defender	12	0	0	–	29.1	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Luis Benedetti Defender	90	1	0	0.73	68.4	–
Facundo Torres Midfielder	79	1	0	0.74	60.8	+7.6
Felipe Anderson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.19	52.9	−3.9
Marcelo Lomba Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.2	–
Micael Defender	72	0	0	–	51.2	−0.5
Aníbal Moreno Midfielder	79	0	0	–	50.8	+1.3
Jefté Defender	90	0	0	0.03	48.6	−2.8
Mauricio Midfielder	67	0	0	0.10	47.8	+0.9
Ramón Sosa Forward	67	0	1	0.08	47.5	−5.3
Emiliano Martínez Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	46.3	−1.3
Luighi Hanri Forward	23	0	0	–	40.3	–
Agustín Giay Defender	84	0	0	–	39.2	−1.0
Bruno Rodrigues Forward	23	0	0	0.14	38.7	–
Allan Midfielder	11	0	0	–	38.6	–
Andreas Pereira Midfielder	11	0	0	0.06	33.0	–
Riquelme Fillipi Midfielder	18	0	0	0.04	28.0	–