FOOTYBOT
Fluminense

Matheus Martinelli

Midfielder · Fluminense · 25 · Brazil

46 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
53.2
Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 22 matches
Last 5 weeks
53.2
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€18.0M
+€2.0M (+13%) since 26 May 2026
Transfermarkt, 28 Sep 2026
Born
5 Oct 2001
Height
176 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
31 Dec 2030
Wikipedia views
4,436 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 27 Oct – 2 Nov 2026

40 of 70 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 51.0 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
13–19 Oct 202614558.752.159.0
6–12 Oct 2026216855.151.956.0
29 Sep – 5 Oct 202624156.552.056.1
15–21 Sep 2026218052.951.753.1
8–14 Sep 202617746.452.246.3
1–7 Sep 202619048.952.548.9
25–31 Aug 202619060.352.060.6
18–24 Aug 2026218054.651.955.1
11–17 Aug 2026218659.251.460.1
4–10 Aug 202619062.850.356.9
28 Jul – 3 Aug 2026215249.850.550.3
21–27 Jul 202619045.950.745.7
14–20 Jul 202619058.250.258.5
26 May – 1 Jun 2026216848.050.447.9
21–27 Apr 20261942.250.641.9
14–20 Apr 202619054.050.455.5
7–13 Apr 2026215547.550.548.6
31 Mar – 6 Apr 2026215054.750.455.1
17–23 Mar 2026213555.549.956.1
10–16 Mar 2026217749.949.850.2
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202616252.149.752.2
10–16 Feb 202619048.549.848.9
3–9 Feb 202618955.549.455.8
27 Jan – 2 Feb 202619048.649.449.0
9–15 Dec 2025217943.749.943.5
2–8 Dec 2025217745.150.744.9
25 Nov – 1 Dec 202519064.550.059.7
18–24 Nov 2025218054.249.655.1
4–10 Nov 202517847.349.547.2
28 Oct – 3 Nov 2025218047.049.746.9
14–20 Oct 2025218048.549.848.5
7–13 Oct 202519058.749.452.0
30 Sep – 6 Oct 2025218046.949.847.0
23–29 Sep 2025218051.949.452.4
16–22 Sep 202517156.249.057.6
9–15 Sep 202518349.648.950.9
26 Aug – 1 Sep 2025215146.849.247.5
19–25 Aug 202519069.447.665.2
12–18 Aug 2025213543.447.943.1
5–11 Aug 2025211144.348.145.0
29 Jul – 4 Aug 2025216845.948.445.7
22–28 Jul 2025213546.048.445.9
15–21 Jul 2025213945.448.645.4

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: +2.5 a week above expectation.

40.050.060.070.015 Jul19 Aug30 Sep18 Nov3 Feb31 Mar21 Jul25 AugScore 55.1Expected 51.9
46

On the breakout watchlist

A 34% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 52.1 over 3,578 minutes in the last year, up 2.2 over the last 10 weeks. Valued €18.0M against €12.8M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €18.0M +€2.0M (+13%) since 26 May 2026 28 Sep 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €18.5M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €18.0M–€28.1M +24% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age +0% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Iliman Ndiaye at 24 (€18.0M, scoring 53.8) +150%; Nikola Milenković at 25 (€20.0M, scoring 53.3) −20%; Wout Faes at 24 (€20.0M, scoring 54.1) +0%.
0€5.0M€10M€15M€20M20222023202420252026€18.0M€18.5M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€18.5M
28 Sep 2026Transfermarkt€18.0M
26 May 2026Transfermarkt€16.0M
12 Mar 2026Transfermarkt€16.0M
10 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€14.0M
5 Sep 2025Transfermarkt€14.0M
6 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€10.0M
9 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€9.0M
17 Jun 2024Transfermarkt€9.0M
28 Mar 2024Transfermarkt€8.0M
11 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€7.0M
25 Jul 2023Transfermarkt€5.0M
7 Apr 2023Transfermarkt€5.0M
14 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€4.0M
19 Aug 2022Transfermarkt€3.0M
6 Apr 2022Transfermarkt€3.0M
17 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€3.0M
28 May 2021Transfermarkt€2.3M
9 Feb 2021Transfermarkt€800k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

What the score is made of

Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 1,808 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 641 top-five-league midfielder seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shooting13Creating40Progressing43Keeping the ball98Defending72Aerial34Finishing28
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shooting13−0.39
Creating40−0.16
Progressing43−0.12
Keeping the ball98+1.56
Defending72+0.10
Aerial34−0.24
Finishing28−0.11

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

01.0K2.0K3.0K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
João Moutinho Sporting Braga · 40 · cheaper53.2€300k97%Compare
Danielzinho São Paulo · 31 · cheaper49.0€1.0M97%Compare
Leon Avdullahu TSG Hoffenheim · 2254.0€30.0M95%Compare
Nonato Fluminense · 28 · cheaper52.5€2.0M94%Compare
Matheus Henrique Cruzeiro · 28 · cheaper49.5€6.0M94%Compare
Mattéo Guendouzi Fenerbahçe · 2749.1€27.0M94%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Matheus Martinelli.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Brasileiro Serie A 2026Brasileirão Série AFluminense221,80853.253.6
CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026Copa LibertadoresFluminense865651.752.3
Copa do Brasil 2026Copa do BrasilFluminense318954.251.4
Int. Friendly Games 2026International FriendliesBrazil24156.556.1
Brasileiro Serie A 2025Brasileirão Série AFluminense332,73248.448.3
Copa do Brasil 2025Copa do BrasilFluminense972845.946.4
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2025Copa SudamericanaFluminense754453.251.5
Brasileirão Betano 2024Brasileirão Série AFluminense342,65747.247.1
Copa Libertadores 2024Copa LibertadoresFluminense1079447.046.9
Copa do Brasil 2024Copa do BrasilFluminense431547.747.9

Latest matches

67 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
15 Oct 2026Copa LibertadoresPalmeirasL 1–24500–0.0458.7
11 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoL 0–178000.120.0256.8
9 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ACoritibaW 4–09000–0.0453.7
3 Oct 2026International Friendliesat IndiaW 4–02900––50.8
29 Sep 2026International Friendliesat AustraliaW 4–21200––70.2
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CorinthiansW 3–19001–0.0258.9
15 Sep 2026Copa Libertadoresat Club Atlético PlatenseL 1–290000.020.0047.0
8 Sep 2026Copa LibertadoresClub Atlético PlatenseW 2–07700–0.0146.4
6 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série AVasco da GamaW 1–09000–0.0348.9
30 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat AthleticoD 3–39000–0.0160.3
All 67 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
15 Oct 2026Copa LibertadoresPalmeirasL 1–24500–0.0458.7
11 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoL 0–178000.120.0256.8
9 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ACoritibaW 4–09000–0.0453.7
3 Oct 2026International Friendliesat IndiaW 4–02900––50.8
29 Sep 2026International Friendliesat AustraliaW 4–21200––70.2
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CorinthiansW 3–19001–0.0258.9
15 Sep 2026Copa Libertadoresat Club Atlético PlatenseL 1–290000.020.0047.0
8 Sep 2026Copa LibertadoresClub Atlético PlatenseW 2–07700–0.0146.4
6 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série AVasco da GamaW 1–09000–0.0348.9
30 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat AthleticoD 3–39000–0.0160.3
22 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série ARemoW 2–190000.060.0555.2
18 Aug 2026Copa Libertadoresat Independiente RivadaviaD 1–190000.010.0254.0
15 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série APalmeirasW 3–290010.090.0352.6
11 Aug 2026Copa LibertadoresIndependiente RivadaviaD 0–096000.040.0765.4
6 Aug 2026Copa do BrasilVasco da GamaL 1–390100.280.0662.8
1 Aug 2026Copa do Brasilat Vasco da GamaD 0–090000.020.0346.7
30 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série ABahiaD 0–062000.080.0654.2
26 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série Aat GrêmioD 1–19000–0.0545.9
17 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série ARed Bull BragantinoD 1–19000–0.1258.2
31 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CruzeiroD 1–19000–0.0249.9
28 May 2026Copa LibertadoresDeportivo La GuairaW 3–17801–0.0745.7
24 Apr 2026Copa do Brasilat Operário-PRD 0–0900––42.2
16 Apr 2026Copa LibertadoresIndependiente RivadaviaL 1–290000.150.0354.0
12 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série AFlamengoL 1–265000.030.1853.4
7 Apr 2026Copa Libertadoresat Deportivo La GuairaD 0–090000.210.0543.2
4 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CoritibaD 1–16400–0.0355.2
2 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série ACorinthiansW 3–186010.040.3754.3
21 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série AAtlético MineiroW 1–090000.020.1156.5
19 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Vasco da GamaL 2–345000.060.0053.5
15 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série AAthleticoW 3–29000–0.0450.7
12 Mar 2026Brasileirão Série Aat RemoW 2–087000.070.0448.9
26 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série Aat PalmeirasL 1–262000.010.0452.1
12 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série ABotafogoW 1–090000.050.0448.5
5 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série Aat BahiaD 1–18900–0.0555.5
28 Jan 2026Brasileirão Série AGrêmioW 2–190000.050.3348.6
14 Dec 2025Copa do BrasilVasco da GamaW 1–08900–0.0344.4
11 Dec 2025Copa do Brasilat Vasco da GamaL 1–290000.020.0842.9
7 Dec 2025Brasileirão Série ABahiaW 2–08700–0.0342.5
3 Dec 2025Brasileirão Série Aat GrêmioW 2–19000–0.0147.6
27 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série ASão PauloW 6–090100.400.0364.5
23 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat PalmeirasD 0–09000–0.0653.3
20 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série AFlamengoW 2–190000.160.2255.1
6 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série AMirassolW 1–07800–0.0247.3
2 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat CearáL 0–29000–0.0346.9
29 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série ACearáW 1–09000–0.0647.1
20 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat Vasco da GamaL 0–29000–0.3452.9
17 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série AJuventudeW 1–090000.010.0244.1
9 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat MirassolL 1–290100.200.0358.7
4 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série AAtlético MineiroW 3–090000.050.0041.8
1 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat Sport RecifeD 2–29000–0.0151.9
28 Sep 2025Brasileirão Série ABotafogoW 2–090010.010.1552.3
24 Sep 2025Copa SudamericanaCA LanúsD 1–190000.080.0351.5
17 Sep 2025Copa Sudamericanaat CA LanúsL 0–171000.100.0156.2
10 Sep 2025Copa do BrasilBahiaW 2–083000.140.0349.6
31 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série Aat SantosD 0–07400–0.0139.7
28 Aug 2025Copa do Brasilat BahiaL 0–177000.140.0253.7
20 Aug 2025Copa SudamericanaAmérica de CaliW 2–090100.440.0369.4
16 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série AFortalezaW 2–16700–0.0141.0
13 Aug 2025Copa Sudamericanaat América de CaliW 2–16800–0.0245.6
10 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série Aat BahiaD 3–33000–0.0045.3
7 Aug 2025Copa do BrasilInternacionalD 1–181000.120.0144.0
3 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série AGrêmioW 1–09000–0.0241.2
31 Jul 2025Copa do Brasilat InternacionalW 2–17800–0.0151.3
27 Jul 2025Brasileirão Série Aat São PauloL 1–34500–0.0049.0
23 Jul 2025Brasileirão Série APalmeirasL 1–29000–0.0244.6
20 Jul 2025Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoL 0–16400–0.0045.8
17 Jul 2025Brasileirão Série ACruzeiroL 0–275000.040.0245.0